Canadians opinions on our connection to the monarchy

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Transcription:

Canadians opinions on our connection to the monarchy National survey released May, 2016 Project 2016-831A

> Support strong for keeping connection with monarchy Canadians feel it has had a positive impact Overall, Canadians support keeping a connection with the monarchy, and believe that having the Queen as Canada s Head of State has had a positive impact on Canada s standing in the world. Canadians support keeping a connection with the monarchy Seven in ten Canadians say that they either support (45%) or somewhat support (24%) Canada keeping a connection with the monarchy. Nearly a third of Canadians somewhat oppose (12%) or oppose (17%) this decision. Two percent said they were unsure. Canadians believe that having the Queen as Canada s Head of State has had a positive impact More than half of Canadians believe that having the Queen as Canada s Head of State has had a positive impact (34%) or somewhat positive impact (23%) on Canada s standing in the world. A little over a third of Canadians believe that this has had a neutral impact (33%). Less than one in ten Canadians believe that this has had a negative impact ( five %) or somewhat negative impact (four %). Two percent were unsure. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between April 28 th and May 3 rd, 2016 as part of an omnibus survey. Participants were randomly recruited by telephone using live agents and administered a survey online. The sample included both land- and cell-lines across Canada. 2

Support for Canada s connection with the British monarchy Source: CTV News/Nanos Research, RDD dual frame hybrid telephone and online random survey, April 28 th to May 3 rd, 2016, n=1000, accurate 3.1 percentage points plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Net Score +40.4 Somewhat oppose 12% Oppose 17% Somewhat support 24% *Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding Not sure 2% Subgroups Support 45% Support/ Somewhat support Atlantic (n=100) 71.9% Quebec (n=250) 56.7% Ontario (n=300) 70.5% Prairies (n=200) 75.9% British Columbia (n=150) 75.5% Male (n=500) 65.3% Female (n=500) 72.7% 18 to 29 (n=155) 60.2% 30 to 39 (n=156) 66.8% 40 to 49 (n=211) 66.7% 50 to 59 (n=240) 74.1% 60 plus (n=238) 76.5% QUESTION As you know, Queen Elizabeth the Second is the Monarch of Canada and Great Britain. Do you support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or oppose Canada keeping a connection with the monarchy? 3

Impact of the Queen s position as Head of State Source: CTV News/Nanos Research, RDD dual frame hybrid telephone and online random survey, April 28 th to May 3 rd, 2016, n=1000, accurate 3.1 percentage points plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Net Score +48.2 Neutral impact 33% Somewhat negative impact 4% Negative impact 5% *Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding Not sure 2% Subgroups Somewhat positive impact 23% Positive impact 34% Positive impact/ Somewhat positive impact Atlantic (n=100) 59.9% Quebec (n=250) 42.5% Ontario (n=300) 62.5% Prairies (n=200) 63.8% British Columbia (n=150) 58.2% Male (n=500) 52.5% Female (n=500) 61.1% 18 to 29 (n=155) 45.1% 30 to 39 (n=156) 52.1% 40 to 49 (n=211) 57.9% 50 to 59 (n=240) 59.0% 60 plus (n=238) 67.8% QUESTION Do you believe having the Queen as Canada s Head of State has had a positive, somewhat positive, a neutral, a somewhat negative or negative impact on Canada s standing in the world? 4

Methodology Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between April 28 th and May 3 rd, 2016 as part of an omnibus survey. Participants were randomly recruited by telephone using live agents and administered a survey online. The sample included both land- and cell-lines across Canada. The results were statistically checked and weighted by age and gender using the latest Census information and the sample is geographically stratified to be representative of Canada. Individuals randomly called using random digit dialling with a maximum of five call backs. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,000 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The data presented in this research is part of a joint project by CTV News and Nanos Research. Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding. 5

Element Organization who commissioned the research Final Sample Size Description CTV 1,000 Randomly selected individuals. Margin of Error ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Mode of Survey RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online omnibus survey Technical Note Element Weighting of Data Screening Excluded Demographics Description The results were weighted by age and gender using the latest Census information (2014) and the sample is geographically stratified to ensure a distribution across all regions of Canada. See tables for full weighting disclosure Screening ensured potential respondents did not work in the market research industry, in the advertising industry, in the media or a political party prior to administering the survey to ensure the integrity of the data. Individuals younger than 18 years old; individuals without land or cell line could not participate. Sampling Method Base The sample included both land- and cell-lines RDD (Random Digit Dialed) across Canada. Stratification By age and gender using the latest Census information (2014) and the sample is geographically stratified to be representative of Canada. Smaller areas such as Atlantic Canada were marginally oversampled to allow for a minimum regional sample. Demographics (Captured) Atlantic Canada, Quebec, Ontario, Prairies, British Columbia; Men and Women; 18 years and older. Six digit postal code was used to validate geography. Estimated Response Rate Twelve percent, consistent with industry norms. Demographics (Other) Age, gender, education, income Question Order Question order in the preceding report reflects the order in which they appeared in the original questionnaire. Fieldwork/Validation Live interviews with live supervision to validate work as per the MRIA Code of Conduct Question Content This was module three of an omnibus survey. The modules preceding these questions included top unprompted national issues of concern, and vote preferences. Number of Calls/ Time of Calls Maximum of five call backs. Individuals were called between 12-5:30 pm and 6:30-9:30pm local time for the respondent. Question Wording Survey Company The questions in the preceding report are written exactly as they were asked to individuals. Nanos Research Field Dates April 28 th to May 3 rd, 2016. Language of Survey The survey was conducted in both English and French. Contact Contact Nanos Research for more information or with any concerns or questions. http://www.nanosresearch.com Telephone:(613) 234-4666 ext. Email: info@nanosresearch.com. 6

About Nanos Nanos is one of North America s most trusted research and strategy organizations. Our team of professionals is regularly called upon by senior executives to deliver superior intelligence and market advantage whether it be helping to chart a path forward, managing a reputation or brand risk or understanding the trends that drive success. Services range from traditional telephone surveys, through to elite in-depth interviews, online research and focus groups. Nanos clients range from Fortune 500 companies through to leading advocacy groups interested in understanding and shaping the public landscape. Whether it is understanding your brand or reputation, customer needs and satisfaction, engaging employees or testing new ads or products, Nanos provides insight you can trust. View our brochure Nik Nanos FMRIA Richard Jenkins Chairman, Nanos Research Group Vice President, Nanos Research Ottawa (613) 234-4666 ext. 237 Ottawa (613) 234-4666 ext. 230 Washington DC (202) 697-9924 rjenkins@nanosresearch.com nnanos@nanosresearch.com 7

Tabulations 8

2016-831A CTV/Nanos Survey Monarchy - STAT SHEET Region Gender Age Canada 2016-04 Atlantic Canada Quebec Ontario Prairies British Columbia Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 plus Question - As you know, Queen Elizabeth the Second is the Monarch of Canada and Great Britain. Do you support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or oppose Canada keeping a connection with the monarchy? Total Unwgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 155 156 211 240 238 Wgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 205 169 208 178 239 Support % 45.1 49.5 33.8 47.9 48.8 50.3 40.8 49.3 32.5 40.3 43.9 46.5 59.3 Somewhat support % 23.9 22.4 22.9 22.6 27.1 25.2 24.5 23.4 27.7 26.5 22.8 27.6 17.2 Somewhat oppose % 11.6 8.8 16.7 9.8 11.0 9.0 12.4 10.7 13.6 13.8 11.7 11.2 8.3 Oppose % 17.0 17.7 22.9 16.9 11.1 14.9 20.6 13.4 24.3 15.3 19.3 14.0 12.2 Not sure % 2.4 1.7 3.7 2.8 2.1.6 1.7 3.2 2.0 4.1 2.3.7 3.0 Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell- lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between April 28 th to May 3 rd, 2016. The sample included both land- and cell-lines across Canada. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,000 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. www.nanosresearch.com Page 1

2016-831A CTV/Nanos Survey Monarchy - STAT SHEET Region Gender Age Canada 2016-04 Atlantic Canada Quebec Ontario Prairies British Columbia Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 plus Question - Do you believe having the Queen as Canada s Head of State has had a positive, somewhat positive, a neutral, a somewhat negative or negative impact on Canada s standing in the world? Total Unwgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 155 156 211 240 238 Wgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 205 169 208 178 239 Positive impact % 34.2 34.2 24.7 36.2 43.1 34.4 31.2 37.2 22.0 31.1 35.8 36.4 44.0 Somewhat positive impact % 22.6 25.7 17.8 26.3 20.7 23.8 21.3 23.9 23.1 21.0 22.1 22.6 23.8 Neutral impact % 33.1 32.0 46.5 27.5 27.2 30.6 35.2 31.0 38.6 37.3 31.5 34.3 25.8 Somewhat negative impact % 4.1 3.0 4.0 4.9 2.1 6.0 4.8 3.5 7.7 2.3 4.7 3.4 2.3 Negative impact % 4.5 5.1 5.2 4.2 4.5 3.2 6.2 2.7 6.3 5.6 4.7 2.1 3.6 Not sure % 1.5.0 1.8.9 2.4 1.9 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.7 1.1 1.2.5 Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell- lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between April 28 th to May 3 rd, 2016. The sample included both land- and cell-lines across Canada. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,000 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. www.nanosresearch.com Page 2