NANOS. Trudeau first choice as PM, unsure scores second and at a three year high

Similar documents
Trudeau top choice as PM, unsure second and at a 12 month high

Almost seven in ten Canadians continue to think Trudeau has the qualities of a good political leader in Nanos tracking

A year later, Trudeau remains near post election high on perceptions of having the qualities of a good political leader

Trudeau scores strongest on having the qualities of a good political leader

Trudeau remains strong on preferred PM measure tracked by Nanos

NANOS. Trudeau sets yet another new high on the preferred PM tracking by Nanos

Positive trajectory for Trudeau continues hits a twelve month high on preferred PM and qualities of good political leader in Nanos tracking

Trudeau hits 12 month high, Mulcair 12 month low in wake of Commons incident

Honeymoon is on - Trudeau up in preferred PM tracking by Nanos

Most Canadians think the Prime Minister s trip to India was not a success

Canadians opinions on our connection to the monarchy

Impressions of Canadians on social media platforms and their impact on the news

Signal Survey Summary. submitted by Nanos to Signal Leadership Communication Inc., July 2018 (Submission )

Views on local news in the federal electoral district of Montmagny-L Islet-Kamouraska-Rivière-du-Loup

Preferred Ottawa Public Library hours of operation GenPop Survey Summary Document 3

Crime, jobs, food top defence spending and Arctic sovereignty. Improving food and product safety regulations 22%

Penultimate Check-Up on Election 42: LIBERALS OPENING UP DAYLIGHT?

Reading Canada Analysis by Jack Jedwab (Executive Director, Association for Canadian Studies / ) 1

Study on the audiovisual content viewing habits of Canadians in June 2014

STAYING INFORMED ACROSS THE GARDEN STATE WHERE DO YOU GO AND WHAT DO YOU KNOW?

Pulling the plug: Three-in-ten Canadians are forgoing home TV service in favour of online streaming

Catalogue no XIE. Television Broadcasting Industries

2007 Canadian Chinese Media Monitor

2007 Canadian Chinese Media Monitor

Eisenberger with mayoral lead in Hamilton Largest number undecided

2.1 Telephone Follow-up Procedure

Northern Ireland: setting the scene

FIM INTERNATIONAL SURVEY ON ORCHESTRAS

Comcast Cable Television Services

Viewers and Voters: Attitudes to television coverage of the 2005 General Election

Toronto Alliance for the Performing Arts

NATIONAL: BEATLES TOP ALL-TIME ROCK BAND LIST

TOWN OF SEEKONK, MASSACHUSETTS CABLE TELEVISION SURVEY. January, 2010

The Majority of TTC Users Satisfied with the TTC, Overall

BBC Trust Review of the BBC s Speech Radio Services

BROADCASTING DISTRIBUTION STATISTICAL AND FINANCIAL SUMMARIES. Cable, Internet Protocol Television (IPTV) and Direct-to-Home (DTH)

Northern Dakota County Cable Communications Commission ~

LEARNING FROM DOCUMENTARY AUDIENCES: A Market Research Study

A Majority of Americans Use Apps to Watch Streaming Content on Their Televisions

Estimating. Proportions with Confidence. Chapter 10. Copyright 2006 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

Public Perceptions About Artists A Report of Survey Findings for the Nation and Nine Metropolitan Areas

Internet Passes Radio, Closes in on Television as Most Essential Medium in American Life

REACHING THE UN-REACHABLE

Magazine readership up on a year ago powered by variety of titles

State of Wisconsin Public Service Commission of Wisconsin

Topline questionnaire

GROWING VOICE COMPETITION SPOTLIGHTS URGENCY OF IP TRANSITION By Patrick Brogan, Vice President of Industry Analysis

Partisanship and the Media: Personal Politics Affect Where People Go, What They Trust, and Whether They Pay

AUSTRALIAN MULTI-SCREEN REPORT

Purpose Remit Survey Autumn 2016

Hymnals The August 2005 Survey

Media Comparisons 2012 Persons

Television Audience 2010 & 2011

How Millennials Get News: Inside the Habits of America s First Digital Generation

BARB Establishment Survey Annual Data Report: Volume 1 Total Network and Appendices

expressed on operational issues are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the U.S. Census Bureau.

The Chorus Impact Study

BARB Establishment Survey Quarterly Data Report: Total Network

Before the Federal Communications Commission Washington, D.C ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) REPORT ON CABLE INDUSTRY PRICES

RESULT-BASED STATUS REPORT

bwresearch.com twitter.com/bw_research facebook.com/bwresearch

Confidence Intervals for Radio Ratings Estimators

australian multi-screen report QUARTER 2, 2012 trends in video viewership beyond conventional television sets

PPM Panels: A Guidebook for Arbitron Authorized Users

BINGE-WATCHING! TAX ISSUES! REGULATORY UNCERTAINTY!

THE CROSSPLATFORM REPORT

BBC Television Services Review

CANADIAN AUDIENCE REPORT. Full report

NPR Weekend Programs

Klee or Kid? The subjective experience of drawings from children and Paul Klee Pronk, T.

Survey on the Regulation of Indirect Advertising and Sponsorship in Domestic Free Television Programme Services in Hong Kong.

GfK Audience Measurements & Insights FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS TV AUDIENCE MEASUREMENT IN THE KINGDOM OF SAUDI ARABIA

Open access press vs traditional university presses on Amazon

Measuring Variability for Skewed Distributions

II. International Conference on Communication, Media, Technology and Design May 2013 Famagusta North Cyprus

Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES) Module 3: Sample Design and Data Collection Report June 05, 2006

D PSB Audience Impact. PSB Report 2011 Information pack June 2012

MATH& 146 Lesson 11. Section 1.6 Categorical Data

Public Survey Results

Growing the Digital Business: Spotlight on the Internet of Things. Accenture Mobility Research 2015

Ocean Today Usage and Satisfaction Study

GET MORE OF WHAT YOU WANT OUT OF LIFE

Master of Arts in Psychology Program The Faculty of Social and Behavioral Sciences offers the Master of Arts degree in Psychology.

RESULT-BASED ACTION PLAN

RIDERSHIP SURVEY 2015 Conducted for the San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency

EXECUTIVE REPORT. All Media Survey 2012 (2)

THE AND MAIL. The #1 national news brand is your connection to Canada s most influential and responsive audience.

Pittsburg State University THESIS MANUAL. Approved by the Graduate Council April 13, 2005

AN EXPERIMENT WITH CATI IN ISRAEL

MULTIPLE- SCREEN VIEWING: SPORT: THE WORLD CUP AND SPORTS VIEWING 1 ENGLAND V CROATIA (ITV) - WEDNESDAY JULY 11TH 2018

The employment intensity of film and television production in Canada

GUIDE TO SERVICES OF THE DAR LIBRARY

ThinkNow Media How Streaming Services & Gaming Are Disrupting Traditional Media Consumption Habits Report

General Overview D.I.S. Consulting Corporation ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Box 447, Woodstock, NY USA

Webcast Metrics Local Data Report Specifications

PROVIDING THE BEST IDEAS FOR MAKING REAL LIFE SIMPLE

THE SVOD REPORT CHARTING THE GROWTH IN SVOD SERVICES ACROSS THE UK 1 TOTAL TV: AVERAGE DAILY MINUTES

Table of Contents INTRODUCTION 2. SECTION 1: Executive Summary 3-6. SECTION 2: Where do people get news and how?..7-11

DOWNLOAD PDF BOWKER ANNUAL LIBRARY AND TRADE ALMANAC 2005

KOREA TIMES U.S.A. MEDIA KIT

Transcription:

Trudeau first choice as PM, unsure scores second and at a three year high Nanos Weekly Tracking ending November 4 th, 2016 (released November 8 th, 2016-6 am Eastern) NANOS

At a glance Preferred Prime Minister Almost one of two Canadians (49.5%) say they prefer Trudeau as Prime Minister while 16.2 per cent prefer Ambrose, 8.3 per cent prefer Mulcair and 5.6 per cent prefer May. Almost one in five Canadians (19.9%) say they are unsure a new three year high. Qualities of a Good Political Leader Asked a series of independent questions for each federal party leader, 68.6 per cent of Canadians believe Trudeau has the qualities of a good political leader while 47.6 per cent thought similarly of Mulcair. More than three in ten Canadians thought May (36.3%) or Ambrose (34.2%) have the qualities of a good political leader. Contact: Nik Nanos, FMRIA Ottawa: (613) 234-4666 x 237 Twitter: @niknanos 2

Nanos Leadership Tracking Data Summary LEADERSHIP A national dual-frame (land+cell) random telephone survey is conducted weekly by Nanos Research using live agents. The weekly tracking figures are based on a four-week rolling sample comprised of 1,000 interviews. To update the tracking a new week of 250 interviews is added and the oldest week dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,000 respondents is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Contact: Nik Nanos (613) 234-4666 x 237 Twitter: @niknanos Preferred Prime Minister This week Last week Oct 18 2015 4 Weeks Ago 3 Months Ago (Aug 5/16) 1 Year Ago 12 Month High 12 Month Low Trudeau 49.5% 49.6% 35.5% 55.9% 55.4% 46.6% 56.3% 20.7% Ambrose 16.2% 16.0% 29.1% 14.5% 15.1% 21.8% 34.1% 11.3% Mulcair 8.3% 8.2% 18.9% 7.7% 9.2% 13.8% 29.8% 7.4% Fortin 0.5% 0.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 1.3% 3.4% 0.1% May 5.6% 5.7% 5.2% 4.5% 4.6% 5.2% 6.4% 2.8% Unsure 19.9% 19.9% 9.6% 16.7% 14.7% 11.1% 19.9% 8.4% Has Qualities of a Good Political Leader Trudeau 68.6% 69.9% 69.3% 71.4% 72.9% 70.4% 73.9% 44.1% Ambrose 34.2% 33.6% 27.1% 30.8% 36.2% 49.2% 59.7% 27.0% Mulcair 47.6% 48.2% 53.8% 47.9% 45.6% 55.2% 64.3% 41.8% Fortin 17.1% 18.6% 15.4% 13.9% 15.5% 34.3% 55.5% 8.8% May 36.3% 36.5% 41.8% 39.2% 36.3% 36.2% 43.0% 24.9% Category order based on number of seats in the House of Commons 3

National Weekly Tracking Preferred Prime Minister First Ranked Choice (Ending November 4 th, 2016, n=1,000) Question: Of the current federal political party leaders, could you please rank your top two current local preferences for Prime Minister? [ROTATE PARTY LEADERS] Contact: Nik Nanos Ottawa: (613) 234-4666 x 237 Washington DC: (202) 697-9924 60% 50% 40% 50% 30% 30% 29% 20% 16% 17% 20% 16% 10% 6% 8% 6% 1% 0% 1% Justin Trudeau (Liberal) Rona Ambrose (Conservative) Thomas Mulcair (NDP) Rhéal Fortin (Bloc) Elizabeth May (Green) Unsure www.nanosresearch.com 4

Question: For each of the following federal political party leaders, do you think they have or do not have the qualities to be a good political leader? [RANDOMIZE] Justin Trudeau Contact: Nik Nanos Ottawa: (613) 234-4666 x 237 Washington DC: (202) 697-9924 80% 70% 60% 55% 50% National Weekly Tracking Qualities of a Good Political Leader (Ending November 4 th, 2016, n=1,000) 69% 40% 30% 29% 20% 16% 23% 10% 9% 0% Has qualities of a good leader Does not have qualities of a good leader Unsure www.nanosresearch.com 5

Question: For each of the following federal political party leaders, do you think they have or do not have the qualities to be a good political leader? [RANDOMIZE] Rona Ambrose Contact: Nik Nanos Ottawa: (613) 234-4666 x 237 Washington DC: (202) 697-9924 National Weekly Tracking Qualities of a Good Political Leader (Ending November 4 th, 2016, n=1,000) 70% 60% 55% 50% 40% 38% 30% 35% 34% 31% 20% 10% 7% 0% Has qualities of a good leader Does not have qualities of a good leader Unsure www.nanosresearch.com 6

Question: For each of the following federal political party leaders, do you think they have or do not have the qualities to be a good political leader? [RANDOMIZE] Thomas Mulcair 70% National Weekly Tracking Qualities of a Good Political Leader (Ending November 4 th, 2016, n=1,000) 60% Contact: Nik Nanos Ottawa: (613) 234-4666 x 237 Washington DC: (202) 697-9924 50% 45% 48% 40% 30% 34% 30% 25% 20% 19% 10% 0% Has qualities of a good leader Does not have qualities of a good leader Unsure www.nanosresearch.com 7

Question: For each of the following federal political party leaders, do you think they have or do not have the qualities to be a good political leader? [RANDOMIZE] Rhéal Fortin Contact: Nik Nanos Ottawa: (613) 234-4666 x 237 Washington DC: (202) 697-9924 70% 60% 50% 40% 40% 30% Quebec only Weekly Tracking Qualities of a Good Political Leader (Ending November 4 th, 2016, n=248) 37% 47% 36% 20% 23% 17% 10% 0% Has qualities of a good leader Does not have qualities of a good leader Unsure www.nanosresearch.com 8

Question: For each of the following federal political party leaders, do you think they have or do not have the qualities to be a good political leader? [RANDOMIZE] Elizabeth May Contact: Nik Nanos Ottawa: (613) 234-4666 x 237 Washington DC: (202) 697-9924 70% 60% 50% 43% National Weekly Tracking Qualities of a Good Political Leader (Ending November 4 th, 2016, n=1,000) 40% 31% 30% 26% 20% 39% 36% 25% 10% 0% Has qualities of a good leader Does not have qualities of a good leader Unsure www.nanosresearch.com 9

Methodology www.nanosresearch.com 10

Survey Methodology The Weekly Nanos Party Power Index Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on a dual frame (land + cell-lines) random telephone interviews with 1,000 Canadians using a four week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of 1,000 respondents may be weighted by age and gender using the latest census information for Canada. The interviews are compiled into a four week rolling average of 1,000 interviews, where each week the oldest group of 250 interviews is dropped and a new group of 250 interviews is added. A random telephone survey of 1,000 Canadians is accurate ±3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. www.nanosresearch.com 11

About Nanos Nanos is one of North America s most trusted research and strategy organizations. Our team of professionals is regularly called upon by senior executives to deliver superior intelligence and market advantage whether it be helping to chart a path forward, managing a reputation or brand risk or understanding the trends that drive success. Services range from traditional telephone surveys, through to elite in-depth interviews, online research and focus groups. Nanos clients range from Fortune 500 companies through to leading advocacy groups interested in understanding and shaping the public landscape. Whether it is understanding your brand or reputation, customer needs and satisfaction, engaging employees or testing new ads or products, Nanos provides insight you can trust. View our brochure Nik Nanos FMRIA Chairman, Nanos Research Group Ottawa (613) 234-4666 ext. 237 Washington DC (202) 697-9924 www.nanosresearch.com 12

Element Description Technical Note Element Description Organization who commissioned the research Sample Size Nanos Research 1,000 randomly selected individuals; four week-rolling average of 250 interviews per week. The interviews are compiled into a four week rolling average of 1,000 interviews, where each day the oldest group of 250 interviews is dropped and a new group of 250 interviews is added. Weighting of Data Screening The results were weighted by age and gender using the latest Census information (2011) and the sample is geographically stratified to ensure a distribution across all regions of Canada. See tables for full weighting disclosure Screening ensured potential respondents did not work in the market research industry, in the advertising industry, in the media or a political party prior to administering the survey to ensure the integrity of the data. Margin of Error ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Mode of Survey Sampling Method Base Demographics (Captured) Demographics (Other) Fieldwork/Validation Number of Calls Tracking; RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) random telephone survey. The sample included both land- and cell-lines RDD (Random Digit Dialed) across Canada. Atlantic Canada, Quebec, Ontario, Prairies, British Columbia; Men and Women; 18 years and older. Six digit postal code was used to validate geography. Age, gender, education, income Live interviews with live supervision to validate work as per the MRIA Code of Conduct Maximum of five call backs. Excluded Demographics Stratification Estimated Response Rate Question Order Question Content Question Wording Individuals younger than 18 years old; individuals without land or cell lines could not participate. By age and gender using the latest Census information (2011) and the sample is geographically stratified to be representative of Canada. Smaller areas such as Atlantic Canada were marginally oversampled to allow for a minimum regional sample. Nine percent, consistent with industry norms. Question order in the preceding report reflects the order in which they appeared in the original questionnaire. This was part of a weekly tracking survey. The preceding module included questions about national issues of concern and ballot preferences and economic confidence. The wording of questions is as presented in the report with a randomization of the political leaders for the question involving leader qualities. Time of Calls Local time 5:00-9:00 pm, on weekends 12:00-9:00 pm. Survey Company Nanos Research Field Dates October 9 th, to November 4 th, 2016 Language of Survey The survey was conducted in both English and French. Contact Contact Nanos Research for more information or with any concerns or questions. http://www.nanosresearch.com Telephone:(613) 234-4666 ext. 237 Email:. 13

14