The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming Could Solve it Prof. Dr. Peter Tschmuck Department of Cultural Management and Gender Studies (IKM) University of Music and Performing Arts Vienna Anton-von-Webern-Platz 1 1030 Vienna, Austria Tel.: ++43-1-71155-3415 email: Tschmuck@mdw.ac.at webpage: http://musicbusinessresearch.wordpress.com/
Contents Music as an economic good The challenges of the music streaming business model The revenue streams for Austrian indie labels
Music as an economic good
Music as a public good (Samuelson 1954) Private goods Excludability in consumption Rivalry in consumption Public goods Non-excludability in consumption Non-rivalry in consumption => Free-riding problem
Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism think of a toll road a club good becomes excludable in consumption, but it is still non-rival. All music events with an access system e.g. concerts and opera houses as well as music festivals can therefore be defined as club/toll goods. The ticket price makes them excludable in consumption, but listening to the performances is still non-rival. In a concert, an individual appropriates the entire benefit from listening to the music despite the presence of other music lovers.
Music as an information good (Shapiro & Varian 1998) Originally, music was a public good (e.g. as music in the liturgy and as a public court entertainment). In the 18 th century impresarios turned music into a club good by staging operas and concerts and collecting entrance fees. Music printing and later sound recording transformed music into a private good with a price mechanism constituting excludability and rivalry in consumption. Commercial broadcasting turned music into a public good financed by either commercials (private radio) or fees (public radio) In the course of digitization, the public good characteristics of music became even more relevant => P2P file-sharing.
How to solve the public good s problem with music? 1. Broadcasting business model: ad-supported and/or public fees 2. Record business model: privatization of consumption 3. Subscription-based music streaming: club/toll good
The challenges of the music streaming business model
Who benefits from music streaming? The artists?
The split of a monthly premium subscription of EUR 9.99 of a music streaming service in France Subscriber pays EUR 9.99 EUR 2.08 (20,8%) remain with Spotify EUR 1.67 (16.7%) go to the tax authority EUR 5.24 are channelled to the record labels for further distribution. They pocket EUR 4.56 (45.5%) EUR 1.00 (10%) are channelled to the collecting societies for for distribution to composers, authors and publishers EUR 0.68 (6.8%) are distributed to all performers for their music streamed Source: SNEP-Ernst & Young study, February 2015
Who benefits from music streaming? The artists? Answer: not really
Who benefits from music streaming? The streaming services?
in 1,000 EUR Spotify s revenue and cost of revenue, 2012-2016 3.500.000 3.000.000 2.500.000 2.000.000 1.500.000 1.000.000 500.000 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Subscriptions 374.600 677.890 978.565 1.744.393 2.638.493 Advertising 55.500 68.157 98.823 195.843 295.011 Cost of revenue 386.498 614.523 876.089 1.623.624 2.482.973
in 1,000 EUR Spotify s annual operating loss, 2012-2016 0-50.000-100.000-150.000-200.000-250.000-300.000-350.000-400.000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Operating loss -37.556-59.136-76.876-91.178-165.180-184.490-349.412
in 1,000 EUR Spotify s cost structure, 2012-2016 3.500.000 3.000.000 2.500.000 2.000.000 1.500.000 1.000.000 500.000 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 General and administrative 28.614 39.965 76.678 116.405 175.179 Sales and marketing 54.099 110.825 173.013 246.486 417.911 Research & development 37.946 72.723 121.030 143.307 206.853 Cost of revenue 386.498 614.523 876.089 1.623.624 2.482.973 Cost of revenue Research & development Sales and marketing General and administrative
SoudCloud s revenue and net loss, 2010-2015 30.000.000 20.000.000 10.000.000 0-10.000.000-20.000.000-30.000.000-40.000.000-50.000.000-60.000.000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Revenue 1.370.000 4.330.000 8.040.000 11.280.000 17.350.000 21.100.000 Net loss -1.550.000-4.460.000-12.430.000-23.110.000-39.140.000-51.220.000
Music streaming services that failed
Who benefits from music streaming? The streaming services? Answer: NO
Who benefits from music streaming? The recording companies?
Universal Music Group s revenue growth, 2015-2017 Source: Vivendi, First Half 2017 results, August 31, 2017, p.5.
Universal Music Group s first half year 2017 results Source: Vivendi, First Half 2017 results, August 31, 2017, p.25.
Source: Music Business Worldwide, Sony recorded music sales fall 6%, hampered by strength of Yen, April 28, 2017
Source: Music Business Worldwide, Warner Music just joined the $1bn streaming record company club, February 7, 2017
Key findings MERLIN s member survey 2017 Annual revenue distributions increased 52% to $353m. 64% of Merlin members report that audio streaming accounts for the majority of their digital revenues (2016: 46%). 67% of Merlin members stated that digital income accounted for over half their overall business revenues. 42% of members report that services such as YouTube account for less than 5% of their digital revenues
Who benefits from music streaming? The recording companies? Answer: YES, but just the majors and a few indies
in Euro Music streaming revenue of Austrian indie companies from digital music distributor Rebeat in 2013-2016 6.000.000 5.000.000 4.000.000 3.000.000 2.000.000 1.000.000 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 Streaming 274.067 458.955 564.877 5.214.375 Download 1.276.704 1.283.945 2.450.744 3.774.554
in Euro Music streaming revenue of indie companies in Austria from digital music distributor Rebeat in 2013 and 2016 160.000 140.000 120.000 100.000 80.000 60.000 40.000 20.000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Who benefits from music streaming? and of course the music consumers
The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming Could Solve it Prof. Dr. Peter Tschmuck Department of Cultural Management and Gender Studies (IKM) University of Music and Performing Arts Vienna Anton-von-Webern-Platz 1 1030 Vienna, Austria Tel.: ++43-1-71155-3415 email: Tschmuck@mdw.ac.at webpage: http://musicbusinessresearch.wordpress.com/