Air Navigation Safety Assessment Methodology for ATS

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Air Navigation Safety Assessment Methodology for ATS Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente

2017 AGENCIA ESTATAL DE SEGURIDAD AÉREA / SPANISH AVIATION SAFETY AND SECURITY AGENCY This work is protected under the Intellectual Property Law. All rights are reserved, explicitly the translation, recopy, transmission through radio, television or internet (web page), reproduction by mechanical method or in any other way as well as storing in data processing premises, even when only partial use is being made. Document code: Issue A Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente Página 1/25

Index 1. INTRODUCTION... 3 2. OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE... 4 3. ATS UNITS GROUPS... 5 4. INDICATORS DEFINITION... 6 4.1. FINDINGS INDICATOR... 7 4.2. FREQUENCY OF INSPECTIONS PERFORMED IN PREVIOUS YEARS INDICATOR... 9 4.3. LAST INSPECTION DATE INDICATOR... 10 4.4. OCCURRENCES INDICATOR... 11 4.5. ATS INCIDENTS RECOMMENDATIONS INDICATOR... 13 4.6. NOTIFIED CHANGES INDICATOR... 15 4.7. COMPLAINTS INDICATOR... 17 4.8. TECHNICAL GLOBAL INDICATOR... 18 5. STANDARDISATION OF VALUES OBTAINED... 19 5.1. CLASSIFICATION AND KEY OF THE OBTAINED VALUES... 19 6. GRAPHIC REPRESENTATION OF INDICATORS... 20 6.1. GLOBAL TECHNICAL INDICATOR FOR ALL ATS UNITS... 21 6.2. GLOBAL TECHNICAL INDICATOR BY ATS UNIT GROUPS... 22 6.3. COMPARISON OF A ATS UNIT WITHIN ITS GROUP... 23 6.4. OCCURRENCE INDICATOR GRAPHIC REPRESENTATION... 24 6.5. TEMPORAL EVOLUTION FOR EACH ATS UNIT GROUP... 25 Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 2/25

1. INTRODUCTION The Spanish Aviation Safety and Security Agency (AESA) perform its oversight duties through an Annual Inspection Plan. This Plan establishes the actions in regulatory control and aviation oversight in order to take care of the compliance with the applicable legislation of national air transportation. This Plan should consider the priorities established by the Air Transport Safety Committee, Aerial Work and General Aviation Safety Committee, Airports Safety Committee and Air Navigation Safety Committee. The Safety Committees are high level groups leaded by the Director of the Agency, in which members of the steering board and technical experts of the different units involved in the safety and economic oversight. The committees, basing on the available information from safety assessment performed through the methodologies for each domain, analyse and make decisions to enhance safety through prevention and oversight of its domain. The Committees shall meet at least three times a year. This document describes the Air Navigation Safety Assessment Methodology, as the result of the application of the preventive approach [1] in the field of Air Navigation. On one hand, the methodology is used to establish the prioritization of actions, including additional oversight activities as well as the necessary reallocation of resources. On the other hand, it facilitates the identification of areas susceptible to supervision, providing useful information to the oversight units for the development of their inspection tasks. The results from this methodology will be analysed and assessed within the Air Navigation Safety Committee. [1] The preventive approach complements the traditional approach, mainly based on the compliance with safety requirements and on inspections. This new approach is based on the performance, on risk management and on the safety assurance, and it is oriented to the processes instead of being oriented just to the consequences. Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 3/25

2. OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE The objectives of the Air Navigation Safety Assessment Methodology are the following: Establishing numeric indicators that enable the identification and measurement of parameters, values and approaches related to safety, based on the available sources. Obtaining a regular image on the level of safety of each air navigation service provider activities. Monitoring the evolution of safety related parameters. Determining the sector's safety trend. Identifying the scopes and providers, where an adequate focus on the oversight activity could foster safety improvements. Adapting the AESA Annual Inspection Plan to the results from this analysis. Presenting the results of the analysis in a graphical, straightforward and intuitive way. This methodology shall apply to every Air Navigation Transit Service Provider (ANTSP); including all ATS units, regardless an ATC or AFIS service is provided. Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 4/25

3. ATS UNITS GROUPS The ATS Units are divided in different groups according to the different parameters that define in any way its complexity (average of the number of operations in previous years, operative staff in each ATS Unit, operative schedule, number of frequencies, number of ratings and ATS service given), so as they are comparable among them. To reach the maximum homogeneity in each group and the greatest different between groups, the Cluster Analysis and a qualitative analysis is been used. Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 5/25

4. INDICATORS DEFINITION In this section, the different technical indicators are described. They have been established to, among other objectives, perform planning activities of regulatory control to the Air Navigation service providers, previously mentioned. Some indicators could be interrelated among them to facilitate a quantitative interpretation which could serve to classify the inspections in function of the priority they have. Hereafter, the considered hypothesis and the analysis to obtain each indicator are included. INDICATOR SOURCE SUB INDICATOR Findings TECHNICAL GLOBAL Oversight Safety Occurrences Frequency of inspections Last inspection date Notified changes Safety occurrences ATS incidents recommendations Complaints Complaints Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 6/25

4.1. FINDINGS INDICATOR FINDINGS INDICATOR (DEF) Acronym Definition D Calculation Considered hypothesis: Findings indicator represents the relationship between the number of findings that have been detected in any ATS unit during the last 6 years, weighted in function of the severity and the time between their detection and their correction. The objective of this indicator is to identify those ATS Units in which a greater number of findings has been detected, in which the most severity ones has been identified, or repeatedly and those which has not been corrected in the specified period. Coefficient of time and coefficient of deficiency correction are established. Findings detected over the last 6 years shall be taken into account. Level 1 deficiency will be strongly weighted. The number of inspections to the ATS Unit will be considered. Coefficient of time (C t ): This coefficient of time to punish to a larger extent the ATS Units where more recently deficiencies have been identified. The C t will be calculated based on the date the deficiency was detected and shall be obtained through the following formula: Tt 6 c 3,6 where T t is the time passed from the deficiency detection, 2 expressed in years. 0 Ct 10 8 6 4 Ct 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Tt Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 7/25

Coefficient of finding correction (C Subi ): For each deficiency, the communication of corrective actions received during the applicable period will be registered and will be compared with the time passed from the existence of correction evidences compared to the proposed implementation time for the corrective actions of the detected findings in each ATS Unit. C 1 K te being: i the number of the finding, k i the number of corrective actions for the ATS Unit i, n k the number of the corrective action for the finding i, te ki the time passed1 to the evidence of the implementation of the corrective action k for the finding i, and tp ki the proposed time to the implementation of the corrective action for the finding i. For those deficiencies that have not still been corrected, te ki will be the current date. The obtained value C will be limited in the following way: If >1,5 C =1,5 If C <0,5 C =0,5 In any other case, C C Therefore, 0,5 1,5, so each ATS Unit is punished or awarded in function of this coefficient in a moderate manner. Typology Temporality Domain tp Cuantitative Continuous Composed Value range 0 5 Frequency of calculation: The indicator is calculated three times a year (depending on the Committee calls). Data selection timeframe: The reference time frame for the selection is 6 years. Formula D j i c c tij Subij DN 2 ij 3 NV j i c c tij Air Navigation Safety ATS Subij DN1 being: DN2 ij the level 2 finding (minor) i for the ATS Unit j in the period considered, DN1 ij the level 1 finding (major) i for the ATS Unit j in the period considered, NV j the number of inspections to the ATS Unit j in the period considered, C tij the coefficient of time for the finding i for the ATS Unit j, and C Subij the coeficient of finding correction i for the ATS Unit j. ij 1 The AESA entry registration date will be considered as a reference for the evidence implementation that ends correction action for this deficiency. Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 8/25

4.2. FREQUENCY OF INSPECTIONS PERFORMED IN PREVIOUS YEARS INDICATOR FREQUENCY OF THE INSPECTIONS PERFORMED INDICATOR (FIP) Acronym Definition FIP Calculation Hypothesis considered: The frequency of inspections performed indicator represents the inspection frequency carried out in each ATS Unit during the last 6 years. For this, the inspection plans of the current and previous years will be studied. The objective of this indicator is to identify those ATS Units that a lower number of inspections has been carried out. Coefficient of time is established. Deficiencies detected over the last 6 years shall be taken into account. The minimum number of times that a ATS Unit should be inspected, regarding the maximum time between inspections applicable for each ATS Unit. Coefficient of time (C t ): A coefficient of time (C t ) will be considered for each performed inspection, that will be calculated based on the inspection date, with a lower value as more recent the inspection was performed and obtained through the following formula: C Min6, Tt 3,6 where T t is the time passed from the detection of the deficiency, expressed in years. Ct 10 8 6 4 2 0 Ct 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Tt Typology Temporality Domain Quantitative Continuous Composed Frequency of calculation: The indicator is calculated three times a year (depending on the Committee calls). Data selection timeframe: The reference time frame for the selection is 6 years. Air Navigation Safety Value range 0 5 Formula 6 being i each one of the performed inspection over the last 6 years, NI the number of the performed inspection over the last 6 years in this ATS Unit and P the maximum available time between inspections established. It is established that: If NI = 0, FIP = 5 If FIP 5, FIP = 5 If NI ; FIP = 0 For the rest of the cases, FIP = FIP Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 9/25

4.3. LAST INSPECTION DATE INDICATOR LAST INSPECTION DATE INDICATOR (FUI) Acronym Definition Calculation The last inspection date indicator represents the date in which the last inspection was performed. For this, the inspection plans for the current year and for the previous ones will be considered. The objective of this indicator is to identify those ATS Units for which there has passed more time from the last inspection. Inspections over the last 6 years shall be taken into account. 5 4,5 4 FUI In the case of having performed an inspection during the last year the minimum punctuation will be assigned, this value will be continually increased with the time passed since last inspection, to reach the maximum punctuation of 5 points in the case no inspection in performed in the maximum defined period to do it (P). 3,5 3 2,5 2 1,5 1 0,5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Tt Typology Temporality Domain Quantitative Continuous Value range Frequency of calculation: The indicator is calculated three times a year (depending on the Committee calls). Data selection timeframe: The reference time frame for the selection is 6 years. Formula Air Navigation Safety 0 5, 5 where T t is the time passed from the last inspection, in years and P the maximum time between inspections established. If T t 6, FUI = 5 If T t P, FUI = 0 For the rest of the cases, FUI = FUI Ct Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 10/25

4.4. OCCURRENCES INDICATOR NUMBER OF OCCURRENCES INDICATOR (ORS) Acronym Definition Calculation Hypothesis considered: The occurrences indicator represents the existing relationship between the number of occurrences reported to the Occurrence Reporting System (ORS) that have happened in a ATS Unit during the last 6 years, weighing in function of their severity and the time passed since they happened. The objective of this indicator is to identify the ATS Units on which a higher number of occurrences have happened, those of higher severity, those which happened repeatedly or those which have recently happened. Coefficient of time and coefficient of severity are established. Occurrences happened in the ATS Unit over the last 6 years shall be taken into account. Coefficient of time (C t ): A coefficient of time (C t ) for each occurrence shall be established, that will be calculated based on the date that it happened. The more recent the occurrence would be, the higher the coefficient. It will be obtained from the following formula: Tt 6 c 3,6 where T t is the time passed from the detection of the deficiency, expressed in years. Ct 10 8 6 4 2 0 Ct 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Tt Coefficient of severity (C Sev ): A coefficient of severity will be assigned to each occurrence based on its severity according to the following chart: Accident (Severity 1) with fatalities C sev = 45 Accident (Severity 1) without fatalities C sev = 20 Serious incident (Severity 2) C sev = 16 Major incident (Severity 3) C sev = 4 Significant incident (Severity 4) C sev = 0.1 Occurrence without safety effect (Severity 5) C sev = 0.00001 Typology Temporality Domain Quantitative Continuous Composed Frequency of calculation: The indicator is calculated three times a year (depending on the Committee calls). Data selection timeframe: The reference time frame for the selection is 6 years. Air Navitagion Safety Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 11/25

Value range 0 5 Formula º Being: j is each ATS Unit; Nº mov is the number of movements in the ATS Unit during the assessment period. Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 12/25

4.5. ATS INCIDENTS RECOMMENDATIONS INDICATOR ATS INCIDENTS RECOMMENDATIONS INDICATOR (RCE) Acronym Definition Calculation Hypothesis considered: RCE indicator represents the ATS incidents recommendations applicable to each ATS Unit during the last 4 years. The objective of RCE indicator is to identify those ATS Units with higher number of recommendations and/or more recent recommendations, in such a way that inspection to this ATS Units is prioritize. Coefficient of time and coefficient of severity are established. ATS incidents recommendations addressed to each ATS Unit during the last 4 years will be taken to account. Coefficient of time (C t ): A coefficient of time (C t ) for each recommendation will be considered, it will be based on the date it was issued, will have a higher value as the more recent the recommendation was and will be obtained from the following formula: Tt 6 c 3,6 where T t is the time passed since the issuing of the recommendation, expressed in years. Ct 10 8 6 4 2 0 Ct 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Tt Coefficient of severity (C Sev ): A coefficient of severity (C sev ) will be assigned for each recommendation based on the severity of the air traffic incident according to the following criteria: Severity A C sev = 16 Severity B C sev = 4 Severity C C sev = 0,1 Severity D C sev = 0 Severity E C sev = 0 Typology Temporality Domain Quantitative Continuous Composed Frequency of calculation: The indicator is calculated three times a year (depending on the Committee calls). Data selection timeframe: The reference time frame for the selection is 4 years. Air Navigation Safety Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 13/25

Value range Formula 0 5 Being: j is each ATS Unit Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 14/25

4.6. NOTIFIED CHANGES INDICATOR NOTIFIED CHANGES INDICATOR (CAM) Acronym Definition Calculation Hypothesis considered: CAM indicator represents the number of changes (operational or technical) reported by ATS service providers during the last 5 years. The objective of CAM indicator is to identify those ATS Units with higher number of changes, with more recent changes and/or more severe, in such a way that inspection to these ATS Units was prioritized. Coefficient of time and coefficient of severity are established. A weight 5 times greater is agreed to be given to changes undergoing acceptance against to those only notified. Coefficient of time (C t ): A coefficient of time (C t ) for each change will be considered, that will be based on the date it was implemented, will be higher as more recent this date was, and will be obtained from the following formula: Tt 5 c 2,5 where T t is the time passed since the issue of the implementation of the change, expressed in years. Ct 10 8 6 4 2 0 Ct 0 1 2 3 4 5 Tt Coefficient of severity (C Sev ): A coefficient of severity (C sev ) for each change will be assigned, based on higher severity of the worse potential credible effects of the risk associated to the change (indicated by the own service provider in the acceptance of the change request, according to the following criteria: Severity 1 C Sev =50 Severity 2 C Sev =40 Severity 3 C Sev =10 Severity 4 C Sev =3 Severity ALARP C Sev =1 Severity 5 C Sev =0 Typology Temporality Domain Quantitative Continuous Composed Value range Frequency of calculation: The indicator is calculated three times a year (depending on the Committee calls). Data selection timeframe: The reference timeframe for the selection is 5 years. Formula Air Navigation Safety Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 15/25

0 5 being: j is each ATS Unit; not CNO is the index of the summation for all notified changes, that are not subject to acceptance; not CSA is the index of the summation for all those changes subject to acceptance; Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 16/25

4.7. COMPLAINTS INDICATOR COMPLAINTS INDICATOR (DEN) Acronym Definition Calculation The complaints indicator represents the relationship between the number of received complaints by AESA in each ATS Unit during the last 4 years. The objective of the DEN indicator is to identify some issue that could require an inspection. Due to the lack of a great number of complaints for each ATS Unit, it has no sense to develop an indicator similar to the previous one; therefore, a relationship between the number of complaints in any ATS Unit in the considered period and the maximum number of this ATS Unit in the considered period; after that, the result is rescaling to the interval from 0 to 5. Typology Temporality Domain Quantitative Continuous Composed Value range 0 5 Frequency of calculation: The indicator is calculated three times a year (depending on the Committee calls). Data selection timeframe: The reference timeframe for the selection is 4 years. Formula being: á Air Navigation Safety j is each one of the ATS Units; d j is the total number of complaints received by a ATS Unit, being object of analysis by the Air Navigation Safety Committee; d máx is the maximum number of complaints in a ATS Unit during the period of study Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 17/25

4.8. TECHNICAL GLOBAL INDICATOR TECHNICAL GLOBAL INDICATOR (ITG) Acronym Definition The technical global indicator combines the following indicators, weighing them in function of the weigh considered to be assigned to any of them: Calculation Deficiency indicator. Frequency of the inspections performed indicator Last inspection date indicator Occurrences indicator ATS incidents recommendations indicator Notified changes indicator Complaints indicator In the following table the weighing coefficient applicable to each technical indicator are defined: INDICATOR DEF FIP FUI SNS RCE CAM DEN C pi 15 5 15 30 10 15 5 Typology Temporality Domain Quantitative Continuous Composed Value range Frequency of calculation: El indicador se calcula tres veces cada año (dependiendo de la periodicidad de las reuniones del Comité). Data selection timeframe: The reference time for each selection is different for each sub indicator. Consult in each table. Formula Air Navigation Safety 0 5 where is each of the technical indicators from previous sections and C pi is the weighting coefficient applied to each one. Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 18/25

5. STANDARDISATION OF VALUES OBTAINED In order to better analyse the values obtained, the indicators have been typified and escalated so that its value is comprised between 0 and 5. The cases in which the final values are outside this interval must be analysed on a case by case basis. With the objective of expressing the behaviour of any analysed ATS Unit against that of its group, both in the position within the group and the evolution along the time, a comparative factor is included to correct the deviation with respect to a reference period in which its average values are considered acceptable. μ μ 3 5 6 Where:, being each one of the technical indicators defined in 4 µ average of the group in the period to be analysed. µ ref average of the reference period σ standard deviaon according to the sample of the group 5.1. CLASSIFICATION AND KEY OF THE OBTAINED VALUES As it has been defined in the previous section, the obtained results will be comprised, in most of the cases, between 0 and 5 in such a way that it could be assess in an analytical way. Three priority levels are defined, with its respective codification, similar to that of a risk analysis: Priority 3: Corresponds to the values comprised between 0 and 2,5. No further action is required. Priority 2: Corresponds to the values comprised between 2,5 and 3,5. A monitoring of this indicator should be performed in case it will pass to Priority 1, controlling its evolution. Priority 1: Corresponds to the values greater than 3,5. The cases in which this happens should be analysed case by case in the Committee in case another corrective measure could be necessary. Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 19/25

6. GRAPHIC REPRESENTATION OF INDICATORS A number of graphs have been defined to present the results from the analysis and monitoring of the level of safety in the activity of each ATS Unit: Global technical indicator for all ATS Units. Global technical indicator by ATS Unit groups. Comparison between an ATS Unit in relation to the group it belong to. Occurrence indicator Temporal evolution of each ATS Unit group. These graphs enable to show standby data (fixed image of the state of the ATS Units in order to identify negative situations) and in a temporal way (evolution of the values of ATS Unit indicators along the time in order to identify negative trends). The indicators described in the previous points, enable to make the specified graphic representations. Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 20/25

6.1. GLOBAL TECHNICAL INDICATOR FOR ALL ATS UNITS A graphic representation example of the global technical indicator for all ATS Units is included. Thanks to the chart, it can be seen at a glance which ATS Units a priori deserve more oversight activities, as well as their more deficient aspects. Figure 1. Global technical indicator for all ATS Units Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 21/25

6.2. GLOBAL TECHNICAL INDICATOR BY ATS UNIT GROUPS Focusing on each group, the state of each ATS Unit can be compared to those ATS Units within the same group, as well as their more deficient aspects. Figure 2. Technical global indicator for Group X Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 22/25

6.3. COMPARISON OF A ATS UNIT WITHIN ITS GROUP In the following chart there is a graph, for a particular group of ATS ATS Units, the results from the technical indicators defined previously are included. In such a way, a comparison can be made between each ATS Unit and the group it belongs to. FINDINGS Figure 3. Technical ATS indicators for Group X Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 23/25

6.4. OCCURRENCE INDICATOR GRAPHIC REPRESENTATION In the following chart a specific group of ATS Units is shown, the number of occurrences notified by tipology, considering its severity and the number of controlled flights in the last 24 months ( Interannual 1 and Interannual 2 periods). The group data correspond to the occurrences in the only last 12 months. Figure 4. ORS indicator Interannual analysis ATS Unit LEX1 Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 24/25

6.5. TEMPORAL EVOLUTION FOR EACH ATS UNIT GROUP The following chart represents the tendency and evolution of each ATS Unit group. The abscise axis represents the findings indicators, the last inspection date, complaints and changes. The ordinate axis represents the occurrence indicators and ATS incidents recommendations. Figure 5. Temporal evolution of Group X indicators Cualquier copia impresa o en soporte informático, total o parcial de este documento se considera como copia no controlada y siempre debe ser contrastada con su versión vigente 25/25