Management Update. April 2016

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MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS

Transcription:

Management Update April 2016 1

i-cable At A Glance Integrated Triple-Play Communications Provider Integrated services provider of television, broadband and telephony services to ~1m customers Near universal Hybrid Fibre Coaxial ( HFC ) network in Hong Kong which can be easily overlaid with a scaleable Gigabit Passive Optical Network ( GPON ) for bandwidth-hungry consumers Most watched Pay-TV platform in Hong Kong over the past 2 decades Awaiting formal free-to-air ( FTA ) license from Hong Kong government One of the largest producers of television, film and multimedia content based in Hong Kong producing >10,000 hours of programming each year FY2015 Revenue = HK$1,510m Internet & Multimedia¹ (23%) FY2015 Customers = ~ 1m Broadband (14%) Others² (2%) 348 Telephony (8%) 171 100 32 1,130 Television (75%) One of the largest TV and film libraries in Hong Kong, with >30,000 hours of TV programmes on top of >20 years of news footage 951 Television (78%) 1 Mainly consumer broadband & telephony. 2 Includes inter-segment elimination. 2

Track Record of Innovative Multimedia Offerings Jun-1993 Hong Kong Cable awarded a Pay TV license Oct-1993 Went on air with 8 channels; Launched Asia's first 24-hour news channel 1993 Jan-2000 Awarded telecom license Mar-2000 Commenced broadband operations 1999 Nov-1999 IPO to raise US$550m for 20% of the company Apr-2002 Launch of fully digitised news production center, first in Hong Kong 2000 2002 Jul-2005 Launch of in-train TV service Mar-2005 Launched Sundream Motion Pictures 2005 Jan-2010 Application for FTA license Jun / Nov-2010 HD broadcast of 2010 FIFA World Cup and first ever HD coverage of Asian Games in Hong Kong 2010 Jan-2015 Rollout of GPON broadband services 2012 Jul-2012 Unprecedented live coverage of London Olympics 2012 Aug-2015 Renewed UEFA Champions League rights to 2018 2015 Dec-2015 Upgraded News platform to HD capabilities; Launched News hd209 2016 Feb-2016 Launched FanHub, an enhanced Pay TV service with interactive features 3

Overview of Business Segments Television Internet & Multimedia Others TV subscription business, advertising, channel carriage, programme licensing, miscellaneous TVrelated businesses Broadband Internet access services, VoIP telephony, and other Internet accessrelated businesses Services delivered via HFC and GPON FY2015 Key Financials (HK$m) Sundream Motion Pictures Limited ( Sundream ): Movie production and distribution arm which acquires, produces and distributes films in Hong Kong and internationally International Distribution Limited ( idl ): Distribution arm of i-cable s TV content to third parties locally and overseas Inter-segment elimination Revenue 1,130 348 32 Reported EBITDA 1 (46) 143 (117) Margin (%) (4)% 41% NA Adjusted EBITDA 2 53 143 (88) Margin (%) 5% 41% NA Note: Revenue and EBITDA based on segment revenues, which include inter-segment revenue and EBITDA. 1 Reported EBITDA is defined as earnings before interest income, finance costs, impairment losses on investment, non-operating income / expenses, provisions for income tax, depreciation of property, plant and equipment but after amortisation of programming rights and impairment losses on programming library (see note 4 to the financial statements in i-cable 2015 Annual Report). 2 Adjusted EBITDA is calculated by adding amortisation of programming library and impairment losses on programming library to Reported EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA is shown for comparative purposes to provide EBITDA after incorporating all non-cash items. 4

Financial Overview 5

(HK$m) Television Revenue May-2013: Cessation of Barclays Premier League broadcast rights 1,749 1,757 94 94 291 324 1,546 101 285 1,266 86 259 1,130 71 244 1,364 1,338 1,160 922 815 CATV Air-time Sales Others¹ Television revenue has decreased in recent years mainly attributable to a decrease in revenue related to Barclays Premier League ( BPL ) Accompanied by a corresponding contraction in programming costs to sustain EBITDA Proliferation of content-on-demand via OTT platforms both locally and internationally, as well as intense competition via existing players and new entrants, have continued to put pressure on subscription revenue and advertising income 1 Includes channel service fees, premises lease rental and other revenues. 6

Subscribers ('000) Television Key Performance Indicators ARPU (HK$/ month)¹ 245 244 231 208 208 461 434 388 338 303 Continued, but more gradual, contraction of subscription TV customer base, amidst stabilising ARPU as BPL impact is fully absorbed Note: The above key performance indicators include CATV subscribers with ARPU of HK$100 and above only. 1 Calculated as revenue divided by the average number of subscribers divided by 12, where average number of subscribers are calculated as the average of the number of subscribers on the first day of the year and on the last day of each month of the year. 7

(HK$m) Internet & Multimedia Revenue 340 338 73 49 348 43 365 46 348 38 267 290 305 319 310 Broadband¹ Others² Fibre-speed broadband migration and perception of better speed equals better quality have put pressure on Internet & Multimedia revenue Internet & Multimedia revenue has remained relatively stable despite a contracting subscriber base as customer yield improves 1 Broadband revenue includes broadband access revenue and homeline telephony revenue (mainly generated as part of bundled services for broadband customers). 2 Revenue from Others includes online advertising revenue, content / portal revenue, interconnect revenues and other revenues. 8

Subscribers ('000)² Internet & Multimedia Key Performance Indicators % of Total Revenue I&M ARPU (HK$/month)¹ 98 98 108 117 125 257 239 231 219 194 I&M Churn Rate 3 1.7% 2.2% 1.8% 1.5% 1.8% Active upselling to higher bandwidth plans upon contract renewal, and active rate adjustment in subscription plan to align with competition in a stabilised market, have led to an overall increase in blended ARPU I&M subscribers include subscribers of broadband and/or telephony services 1 Based on annual broadband access and homeline telephony revenue divided by the average of the Internet & Multimedia subscribers, where average number of subscribers are calculated as the average of the number of subscribers on the first day of the year and on the last day of each month of the year. The number of subscribers is net of double counting of subscribers that subscribe to both broadband and telephony services. 2 Net of double counting of subscribers that subscribe to both broadband and telephony services. 3 Represents average of the monthly churn rate of the year. Monthly churn rate is calculated as the number of subscriber churn in a month divided by the opening number of subscribers for that month. The number of subscribers for churn rate calculation is based on a combined gross subscriber base for broadband and telephony and does not exclude double-counting of subscribers that subscribe to both broadband and telephony plans. 9

(HK$m) Others Revenue 21 14 12 15 32 17 16 20 37 35 15 6 32 2 22 33 27 31 31 28 (20) (21) (30) (35) (25) idl Sundream Others Inter-Segment Elimination idl monetises i-cable s programme library through worldwide distribution Sundream s revenue has gained traction as it ramped up its film production and distribution capabilities During 2015, Sundream theatrically released 20 films in Hong Kong and Macau Others includes revenue for i-cable s retail shops and unallocated revenue i-cable has closed its last retail shop at the end of 2015 given its low cost effectiveness 10

Other & Inter- Segment Elimination i-cable Communications Limited (HK$m) Internet & Multimedia Television Adjusted EBITDA Total % of Total Revenue Segmental Breakdown 7.9% 3.5% 12.6% 12.5% 7.2% 243 EBITDA 69 (30) 125 34 (46) 166 94 209 Adjusted EBITDA 149 59 210 133 53 88 75 121 108 EBITDA 127 118 125 156 143 78 98 149 88 128 (22) (19) EBITDA (117) (110) (101) (103) (117) Reported Adjustment Adjusted EBITDA (110) (101) (92) (80) (88) Adjusted EBITDA is calculated by adding amortisation of programming library and impairment losses on programming library to Reported EBITDA These adjustments mainly relate to Television EBITDA, which is adjusted by adding-back the abovementioned non-cash expenses from Programming / Content costs EBITDA derived from Sundream, for which a small amount of non-cash expenses are added back to EBITDA from Other & inter-segment elimination 11

(HK$m) (HK$m) I&M Opex as % of Segment Revenue Television Opex as % of Segment Revenue Operating Expenses By Business Segment Before Adjustments 62.8% 65.3% 64.0% 57.2% 58.9% 96.1% 2,031 156 213 101.7% 2,031 2,149 156 162 213 221 91.9% 97.3% 104.0% 2,149 1,782 166 223 162 221 1,578 1,530 167 168 209 205 1,680 1,787 1,680 1,787 1,421 1,232 1,176 After Adjustments 62.8% 65.3% 64.0% 57.2% 58.9% 91.5% 96.7% 86.4% 89.5% 95.3% 2,052 1,782 1,944 150 166 146 221 1,578 1,688 1,529 223 213 167 153 1,457 168 1,401 209 223 138205 136 209 205 1,421 1,600 1,698 1,232 1,336 1,176 1,134 1,077 (18) (20) (28) (30) (20) (18) (20) (28) (30) (19) (16) (18) (24) (23) (16) Television Internet & Multimedia Others Inter-Segment Elimination Television operating expenses have gradually declined along with decline in television revenue Internet & Multimedia operating expenses have remained relatively stable, but have gradually declined as % of segment revenue due to disciplined cost management For adjusted opex calculations, opex for Television and Sundream (under Others) are adjusted for amortisation of programming library and impairment losses on programming library 12

(HK$m) (HK$m) Opex as % of Total Revenue Operating Expenses By Category Before Adjustments 96.3% 101.0% 92.3% 94.7% 101.3% After Adjustments 92.1% 96.5% 87.4% 87.5% 92.8% 2,031 192 123 932 99 26 2,149 119 181 121 1,038 18 1,782 112 183 113 684 May-2013: Cessation of Barclays Premier League broadcast rights 19 1,578 1,529 122 114 170 175 119 15 116 15 503 458 2,052 1,944 110 92 181 192 121 123 26 852 949 18 1,688 103 183 113 599 19 1,457 1,401 99 85 170 175 119 15 116 15 404 359 709 719 714 699 697 709 719 714 699 697 (50) (46) (43) (50) (47) (50) (46) (43) (50) (47) Salaries & Benefits Programming / Contents Advertising & Promotion Plant Operations General Administration Capitalised Cost Cost of Sales Salaries & Benefits and Programming / Contents costs, which include amortisation of programming library and impairment losses on programming library, account for the majority of expenses Advertising & Promotion costs have been the lowest cost component at ~1% of total revenue For adjusted opex calculation, Programming / Contents costs and Cost of Sales are adjusted for amortisation of programming library and impairment losses on programming library 13

(HK$m) (HK$m) Capex Capex Additions to Programming Library % of Total Revenue 10.6% 10.1% 7.6% 11.3% 13.1% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 8.9% 8.0% 223 115 215 136 147 188 55 197 59 84 106 116 148 120 35 69 46 67 72 36 24 44 54 87 71 Capex has remained relatively stable in the past few years, except in FY2013, when capex spend dipped primarily due to the near completion of the HD STB / production investments by 2012 as well as a contraction of other capex spend, while the HD news upgrade started from 2014 onwards Additions to programming library comprises mostly of acquisition costs relating to movie and drama content These costs exclude costs related to live sports content and self-produced shows, both of which are expensed 1 Includes capacity related, subscriber connections, cable modem, and Multichannel Multipoint Distribution System (MMDS)/ Headend / Test Equipment and other capex. Fibre & Coaxial Network TV Production Equipment Others¹ 14

Summary Financials (in HK$ m) FYE Dec 2011A 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A Total Revenue 2,110 2,127 1,932 1,666 1,510 Growth (%) 1% (9)% (14)% (9)% Reported EBITDA 78 (22) 149 88 (19) Margin (%) 3.7% (1.0)% 7.7% 5.3% (1.3)% Adjusted EBITDA 166 75 243 209 108 Margin (%) 7.9% 3.5% 12.6% 12.5% 7.2% Loss from Operations (180) (275) (88) (139) (242) Margin (%) (8.5)% (12.9)% (4.5)% (8.3)% (16.0)% Loss for the Year (179) (278) (93) (139) (233) Margin (%) (8.5)% (13.1)% (4.8)% (8.4)% (15.4)% Capex 223 215 147 188 197 Margin (%) 10.6% 10.1% 7.6% 11.3% 13.1% Additions to Programming Library 84 106 116 148 120 Margin (%) 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 8.9% 8.0% Adjusted EBITDA Less Capex Less Additions to Programming Library (141) (245) (20) (127) (209) Margin (%) (6.7)% (11.5)% (1.0)% (7.6)% (13.8)% 15

Business Transformation Initiatives 16

Challenges & Strategic Focus 1 2 3 Brand Image / Marketing Content Experience Broadband Experience Service image suffering from legacy anecdotal and isolated incidences Under-investment in brand image In terms of re-building of image and word-of-mouth creation effort Under-investment in online sales / marketing and service portals Resulting in over-reliance on limited sales manpower which has driven up sales cost Lagging behind competitors in terms of promoting the online platforms for customer service, customer communication, sales and renewals Under-investment in customer experience Aging of set-top boxes Less competitive functions compared to new OTT boxes Affected performance and stability Insufficient HD initiatives including capacity, news, & channel line-up Insufficient focus on multi-screen potential Full subscription value not realised Broadband image suffering from insufficient market education Market pre-empted by competitors efforts to promote Fiber-To-The-Home (FTTH), which undervalues HFC broadband Market further affected by previous experiences of instability and speed limitations relating to HFC infrastructure 17

1 Brand Image / Marketing i-cable Brand Proposition Status Initiatives We are the missing piece to complete your entertainment (and broadband) experience Build confidence in and correct misperception of i-cable s brand, products and services via mass communications Launch of a truly total multi-entertainment platform, supplemented by a serviceguaranteed programme to address any skepticism Enhance i-cable s experience as the innovative pioneer bringing PayTV to the local market, introducing around-the-clock news coverage, and producing groundbreaking entertainment programmes Increase annual advertising and promotion budget from ~1% to ~3-4% of revenue Correct inferior quality perception relating to brand and products via mass communications, supplemented by tactical promotions Retake the throne and reclaim the lost avenues of brand equity! 18

1 Brand Image / Marketing Service Image Status i-cable s service quality has progressively improved in the last two years Consistently exceeding broadband service pledges and performance targets Service Pledge Network Available Time Service Restoration CS Hotline Call Answer Time Handling of Customer Complaints Service Delivery Standard Service Perf. Target 2015 Actual Performance Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 N/A 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 working day 95% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 minute 90% 97% 89% 93% 92% 7 working days 90% 99% 99% 99% 99% Initiatives ISO certifications obtained in Q1 2016 ISO 9001:2008 Quality Management System ISO 10002:2014 Customer Complaint Management System Continue to correct market misperceptions Formalise & continuously improve all processes, procedures and policies as a company-wide commitment Closely monitor progress and improvement as reflected in the independent Annual Customer Satisfaction Surveys Actively communicate ISO certifications and quality to customers via above-theline and below-the-line marketing strategies After-Sales Operations Service Operations 19

1 Brand Image / Marketing Online Service & Sales Portals Status Revamp of i-cable.com with an increased focus on generating new sales and leveraging it to become a key renewal platform Target to progressively migrate new sales and renewal activities to the online portal, reaching ~30% by 2020 Attainability of targets ascertained through benchmarking of competitors experience and proof of concept in 2015 New online service portals launched in 2015 Continuous growth in number of visits to the portals Improvement of service quality through a reduction of human errors 20

2 Content Experience Current Content Offering Portfolio Total 111 Channels (97SD + 14HD) News & Information (20 Channels) Entertainment (36 Channels) Viewership Share Among Pay TV Operators 58% 60% 51% 57% 55% Movies (10 Channels) Sports (12 Channels) Kids (7 Channels) International (9 Channels) 30% 29% 25% 25% 26% 17% 16% 18% Adult (5 Channels) Documentaries (12 Channels) 8% 7% 4% 5% 7% 2% 1% CABLE TV Now TV¹ TVBNV² bbtv Programme offerings designed to bring the best tailor-made entertainment portfolio to individual families Sources: CSM Media Research (2011-2012); Nielson (2013-2015) for All Day All Time viewership (individuals aged 4+) 1 Excluded 8 TVBNV channels via Now TV platform in top 50 channel list only in 2013 and 2014; excluded all TVBNV channels via Now TV STB in 2015. 2 Included 8 TVBNV channels via Now TV platform in top 50 channel list only in 2013 and 2014; included all TVBNV channels via Now TV STB in 2015. 21

2 Content Experience HD Upgrade and Offering Status Initiatives News 5 production studios Largest studio is HD Ready with Live & Recording capabilities Active upgrade of studio production facilities from SD to HD First batch of HD channels rolled out in 2009 Sports 3 production studios All 3 studios are HD Ready with Live & Recording capabilities Studio-1 News platform upgraded to HD at the end of 2015 Finance programme and remaining news production facilities undergoing HD conversion in 2016 Entertainment 3 production studios All 3 studios are HD Ready with Recording and / or Live capabilities Incremental capex of ~$100m over next 2 years combined to complete HD upgrade plan Triple HD channels from 14 to 45 Incremental capex of ~HK$20m over next 2 years combined Content Library >30,000 hours in programs >20 years of news footage 25 film productions Upsell premium package with new HD channels at discounted prices to improve overall penetration and ARPU Focus on local market flavor to bring distinct and premium content to our viewers 22

2 Content Experience FanHub and i-cable App ONE Box Replace ALL Others ONE App Serves ALL Devices FanHub + i-cable App Reaches ALL Target Segments FanHub combines all features and functions into one, and includes all the popular content available in the market and enables customers to download apps of choice i-cable App offers a multi-screen platform, enabling access to the same FanHub content across different devices, whenever, wherever 23

2 Content Experience FanHub A full featured, video-on-demand, open platform and app-enabled HD set top box Live channels and VOD content Enabled to view all FTA channels, free to download app from open source Cable TV Content FTD Unlimited Apps Ability to raise ARPU Enable new revenue models Pay-per-view Revenue share Enrich HD channel portfolio Two-way connectivity enabling comprehensive customer behaviour analysis Strengthen marketing and selling effectiveness FTA Channels Preinstalled Apps Target: ~180k boxes by 2018 Budget: ~$90m investment over next 3 years combined Cash Payback: ~1 year for FanHub box Join our enemies, stay in the game and retake the throne! 24

2 Content Experience i-cable App Device neutral and infrastructure neutral Platform TV Desktop/ Laptop Tablet/ Phone Single point of content management for TV (FanHub), Web (i-cable.com), Mobile and tablet (app) Technology Enablement STB Web App New applications for mobile and tablets as subscription alternative Target launch: Q3 2016 Product Name CABLE TV i-cable.com i-cable Picture Quality HD HD HD (live & VOD) Understand our customers, offer more than they can imagine and grow our share of wallet! 25

3 Broadband Experience New 200M Offer Answers Most Of The Market Needs Status Initiatives Unleashes the true value of existing, near-universal HFC infrastructure for broadband service Incremental initiative targeted at customers who have issues with their existing modems High quality Hitron cable modem provides better speed and better technology to improve service quality Genuine alternative to fibre broadband Money-back guarantee offered to enhance customer take-up Economical DOCSIS-based products that allows for high-speed broadband access Gradually upsell to existing low broadband speed customers to reduce churn and improve ARPU Provide stability to speed over HFC network 26

GPON Metro Ethernet i-cable Communications Limited HFC xdsl 3 Broadband Experience GPON to Fuel New Growth Momentum Status Speed Description Limitations <100 Mbps Transmits over copper telephone lines at higher speeds than dialup Subject to distance from the telephone exchange due to limitations of copper Initiatives Leapfrogging technology from HFC to GPON Limited incremental costs given overlay on HFC network Estimated ~HK$500m cumulatively between 2015-2020 <200 Mbps <1,000 Mbps 500-1,000 Mbps Combines optical fibre and coaxial cable to offer digital pay-tv and broadband services FTTB configuration using Cat-5e for the last 100 metres Requires all subscriptions to share the same pipe, limiting speed for concurrent users Signals degrade after 100 metres FTTH connection Relatively high cost Clear network upgrade plan Commenced GPON upgrade in January 2015 ~184k GPON-ready homes and subscriber base of ~2k as at FY2015 (1% penetration 1 ) Targeted to reach 1.2m GPON-ready homes and ~150k subscribers by FY2020 (12% penetration 1 ) 1 Penetration calculated as number of subscribers divided by the number of GPON-ready homes 27

Subscribers ('000) i-cable Communications Limited 3 Broadband Experience Pricing Strategy Status i-cable s ARPU still substantially below competition across all product offerings Current product offerings include: DOCSIS 2.0: up to 10Mps DOCSIS 3.0: 100 / 130 / 200Mps GPON: 500 / 1000Mps Focused efforts to upsell DOCSIS 2.0 subscribers to DOCSIS 3.0 and GPON Early stage success of converting customers to higher speeds plans during contract renewal process 218 28 191 0.0 201 196 0.0 186 0.2 76 110 123 125 85 63 0.6 171 131 38 Docsis 2.0 Docsis 3.0 GPON 2.0 Initiatives Significant potential for ARPU uplift with the right product offering and marketing Provide service guarantees to regain customer confidence Develop differentiated strategy to address different target markets Product offering: DOCSIS 3.0 using Hitron cable modem for mass market (up to 200 Mbps) GPON for data hungry segment (above 200 Mbps) at 20% premium Targets to resume the growth trajectory of the broadband installed base Double-digit annual growth rate Regain market share at mid teens by 2018 28

Upside from FTA TV Roll-Out Status Via Fantastic TV (affiliate) Applied for a FTA license in January 2010 Received in-principle approval in October 2013 by Chief Executive-in-Council License to be granted upon final approval by Chief Executive-in-Council Incremental business leveraging on i-cable business Initiatives Target to launch in 2H 2016 at the earliest Leverage on CABLE TV s programming and network infrastructure and capabilities Sharing costs with CABLE TV resulting in a more robust business model to achieve early-on breakeven Committed to commence integrated 24 hours Cantonese and English channels within 12 months and 24 months respectively from the grant of license Committed to invest over HK$1bn in the initial 6 years from the launch of FTA services, of which: ~HK$40m on capex ~HK$960m on programming 29

Important Notice i-cable Communications Limited (the Company ) HKSE Stock Code: 1097.HK The information set out in this Management Update does not constitute a public offer or an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to purchase any securities, or any recommendation in respect of such securities. Disclaimer All information and data included is solely for the use in this Management Update and certain information or data (including preliminary unaudited numbers and unaudited financial numbers derived from the Company s management accounts) has not been independently verified and we will not take responsibility for the accuracy of such information or data. The financial information in this Management Update, unless stated otherwise, is not directly extracted from our audited consolidated financial statements and has been prepared based on management information and has not been audited or reviewed by our reporting accountants or other advisors. This Management Update contains certain projections, estimates, forecasts, targets and other forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations, financial position and business of the Company and its subsidiaries ( the Group ) (together, forwardlooking statements ). Forward-looking statements are statements about the future and are inherently uncertain and generally based on assumptions. Such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of future performance of the Group, as the assumptions and subjective judgements involved in making them may or may not prove to be correct. There can be no assurance that any of the matters set out in forwardlooking statements are attainable, or are complete or accurate. Actual results, performance or other future events may differ materially from those stated, implied and/or reflected in any forward-looking statements due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors. Any such forwardlooking statements are based on the beliefs, expectations and opinions of the Group at the date hereof, and the Group does not assume, and hereby disclaims, any duty to update them. This Management Update also contains extracts of certain pro forma financial information of the Group which have been prepared for additional information and illustrative purpose only ( unaudited financial information ). No reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions (including the forward-looking statements and unaudited financial information) presented or contained in this Management Update. Potential Investors and Shareholders should exercise caution when investing in or dealing in the securities of the Company. i-cable, its subsidiaries, affiliates, directors and employees hereby disclaim (i) all express, implied, & statutory warranties of any kind to user and/or any third party including warranties as to accuracy, timeliness, completeness, or fitness for any particular purpose; and (ii) any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from or in reliance upon the whole or any part of the information and data contained herein. 30