Bibliometric study of the Nigerian Predatory Biomedical Open Access Journals during Willie Ezinwa Nwagwu, PhD and Obinna Ojemeni

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Bibliometric study of the Nigerian Predatory Biomedical Open Access Journals during 2007-2012 Willie Ezinwa Nwagwu, PhD and Obinna Ojemeni Africa Regional Centre for Information Science University of Ibadan, Nigeria Department of Information Science, University of South Africa Paper presented at the 15th Information Studies (IS) Annual Conference Theme: Informetrics and Information Seeking Research in Africa 3 rd 5 th September, 2014, University of Zululand

Content 1.0 Introduction and Objectives Gold OA? Why the study? 2.0 Methods Focus and Population Research design Data sources/extraction and analysis 4.0 Results and Interpretation Characteristics of the journals; Continental/country distribution of contributors and users/top ten authors; Links to Web of Science; APC 5.0 Discussion and engagement Questionable journals? Who are the sustainers of these journals? Global dynamics that explain the journals Local scientific realities Conslusions

Introduction Open access is concerned with free and immediate availability of full text, digital, online and publicly-funded and commercially-published research outcomes with the rights and licensing restrictions of the research outcomes residing with the author who also bears the costs. APC has attracted substandard, fake, fee-gauging and predatory publishers (Beall 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 These publishers are mainly based in the Southern hemisphere, a region of the world where academic print publishing did not blossom As at December 2012, Jeffrey Beall had already identified 23 predatory publishing houses with close to 1400 journals (http://scholarlyoa.com/publishers/), as well as many stand-alone open access journals Two of these publishers namely Academic Journals Inc. and International Research Journals originate from Nigeria

Objective of the Study The paper undertakes a bibliometric sightsee to spotlight the predatory journals in order to uncover their timeline, geographical spread, sources and citation, as well as their performance. This paper does not delve into the content analysis of the journals or the papers they contain to discover the authenticity of the authors details, the veracity and validity of the claims in the papers, or characteristics of the editorial boards, etc This paper is not designed to give support to the journals and their publishers nor give credence to their description as fake or predatory; for benchmarking purposes, the word predatory is retained in describing the journals.

Methodology Focuses on two biomedical publishers of Nigerian origin: Academic Journals Inc (28 journals) and International Research Journals (6 journals). Data about the journals, author information and the number of publications in the journals were collected from the websites of the publishers. The journal titles were entered into the Publish or Perish (PoP) software to extract the total number of papers, total number of citations, number of citations per paper, number of citations per year, and h-index from Google Scholar. Microsoft Excel was used to gauge the frequency distribution of the data. Search was conducted in Journal Citation Report to establish the predatory journals that are indexed in WoS, and to examine their citation by journals indexed in ISI. Based on the country classification by The World Bank (2013), the countries whose authors published papers in the journals were categorized as developing and developed.

ISSN, DOI AND LANGUAGE OF PUBLICATIONS 29 had ISSN 6 had no DOI English is the language of the publications Result 6% Periodicity of the journals 18% START-UP YEAR OF THE JOURNALS Year N % 2007 2 5.88 2009 18 52.94 2010 9 26.47 2011 2 5.88 2012 1 2.94 2013 2 5.88 Total 34 100 76% Monthly Weekly Per article A TOTAL OF 5601 PAPERS IN FIVE YEARS WRITTEN BY 901 AUTHORS FROM SVEN CONTINENTS! A TOTAL OF 2772 CITATIONS

PEER REVIEW AND INDEXATION STATUS PEER REVIEW N (Days) Mean (Days) SD Med. Max Min International Research Journals 301 50.33 40.29 40 286 1 Academic Journals Inc. - - - - - - Index INDEXATION STATUS Number Web of Science 2/34 Directory of Open Access Journals 1/34 Google scholar 34/34

Publications by continents Continent No of countries contributing Number of papers contributed % of papers N % N % Europe 39 33.33 433 7.73 Africa 32 27.35 1588 28.35 Asia 31 26.50 3181 56.79 South America 6 5.13 163 2.91 North America 5 4.27 191 3.41 Oceania 3 2.56 19 0.34 Cent. America 1 0.85 3 0.05 Total 117 100 5578 99.59 Others 0 23 0.41 Grand total 117 100 5601 100

Top ten contributing countries to the Nigerian medical OA journals Continent Countries No of publications % Rank/ Africa Asia Nigeria South Africa China India Iran Pakistan Malaysia S. Arabia 889 136 849 634 522 382 215 153 21.60 3.30 20.63 15.41 12.68 9.28 5.22 3.72 Global 1 10 2 3 4 5 6 9 Europe Turkey 189 4.59 7 1 S. America Brazil 146 3.55 8 1 TOTAL 4115 100 Rank/ Regional 1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6

Number of papers produced Paper production 2007-2012 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Year Paper production came to a peak in 2011, and started declined thereafter

Papers with three authors 1052(18.8%) outnumbered other authorship categories, followed closely by papers with four, five, two and six authors each with 1,008 (18%), 801 (14.3%), 797(14.2%), and 603(10.8%).

Citation of the Nigerian Biomedical OA Journals by Continents Continents No of cntries No of citations % Europe 18 469 16.92 Africa 14 506 18.25 Asia 13 1514 54.62 North America 3 186 6.71 South America 2 86 3.10 Oceania 1 11 0.40 51 2772 100 Asia cited the papers the most (54.62%), followed by Africa

TOP TEN CITER COUNTRIES Number of % Rank/ Rank/ Countries citations Global Region Asia India 331 18.13 1 1 China 296 16.21 2 2 Pakistan 239 13.09 3 3 Iran 194 10.63 4 4 Malaysia 177 9.69 5 5 Saudi Arabia 98 5.37 9 6 Africa South Africa 143 7.83 6 1 Nigeria 119 6.52 8 2 North 7 1 America USA 141 7.72 Turkey 88 4.82 10 1 Total 1826 100

Journals in Web of Science (WoS) citing Nigerian predatory biomedical OA journals Journals in WOS citing Nigerian OA journals in WOS Citing Citations journals N % N % Nigerian journals 5 9.25 313 26.19 Other journals 49 80.75 882 73.81 All journals 54 100 1195 100.0 0 The top five WoS journals citing the predatory journals are: Journal of Ethnopharmacology, Molecules, BMC Complementary and Alternative Medicine, Plos One, Evidence Based Complementary and Alternative Medicine

Average APC of USD636 Revenue Gross APC:.. to the tune of USD3,360,500 in six years Considering that these are publishers operating at very low infrastructure threshold, this profit suggests a blossoming business.

Discussion Is there any Reason to worry about these Journals? i. Amazing global spread and heavy patronage ii. iii. iv. Peer review is fly-by-night Indexation is neglected Periodicity is too rapid for new journals v. Voluminosity too large

The author with the highest number of articles is Muhammad Akram, a lecturer in the Department of Eastern Medicine, University of Poonch, Rawalakot, Azad Jamu and Kashmir, Pakistan who contributed 20 papers during January 2007 December 2012. Muhammad Akram s CV is freely available in the internet (see http://www.ecsdev.org/images/v1i1/cv%20m.akram.pdf One of Akram s papers is thus listed in his CV M. Akram, S. M. Ali Shah, H. M. Asif, Ghazala Shaheen, Tahira Shamim, M. Ibrahim Khan, Asmat Ullah and Khalil Ahmed, Comparative study of similarity and identity of human albumin with some selected organism albumin, 5(19):4974 4976:2011.

What are the factors that explaining the sustenance of these journals? i. A huge number of authors mainly from the South that cannot find space in the so-called mainstream journals or who choose to publish in the South ii. Readiness of the authors to bear the APC iii. Young and upcoming authors seeking for visibility iv. Tight and cosmopolitan publishing regimes by the so-called mainstream journals v. Poor technology environment vi. Inordinate business motive vii. Poor journal management skill

factors continued viii. Weak/absence of science policies and lack of research coordination ix. Easy access to the Internet x. Poor science literacy among scholars

Concluding Remarks and Recommendations The startup or predatory journals will have a wider impact on scholarship throughout the world generally and in the low-income economies specifically in a short time to come, and the consequences might be harmful to science if their activities are not checked. The onus should be on academies, professional societies and institutions to define and prescribe publication channels to control where authors publish their papers. Need for open mindedness: Warhust said certainly I do not believe that this is a toxic journal, and so may be many journals which have been slammed as predatory. Beall himself cautioned: So the only way to judge them is by gathering all the information you can from their Web sites, from talking to them, from reading e-mails from people who have worked with them or submitted articles to them and combine all of that information and complete the analysis. And it is subjective

Required i. Further studies are required about - the journals, their managers, operations, content analysis adopting both observational and survey approaches ii. Who are the authors? - science literacy, institutional and wider societal factors, etc THANK YOU VERY MUCH