UBS 2006 UBS Global Communications and Technology Conference

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Transcription:

UBS 26 UBS Global Communications and Technology Conference November 14, 26 Grand Hyatt New York Bob Stanzione, Chairman & CEO Jim Bauer, VP-Investor Relations (www.arrisi.com)

Safe Harbor This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning revenues, industry sales, earnings per share and other financial items; plans and objectives for future operations, products and services; future economic performance; and the assumptions relating to the foregoing. The statements in this presentation that use such words as believe," "expect," "intend," "anticipate," "contemplate," "estimate," or "plan," or similar expressions also are forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those contained in, or suggested by, any forward-looking statement. Specific factors that could cause such material differences include the following: the timing of the introduction and the performance of new ARRIS products; design or manufacturing defects in our products that could curtail sales and subject us to substantial costs for removal, replacement and reinstallation of such products; manufacturing or product development problems; an inability to absorb or adjust our costs in response to lower sales volumes than we anticipate; loss of key management, sales or technical employees; decisions by our larger customers to cancel contracts or orders as they are entitled to do or not to enter into new contracts or orders with us because of dissatisfaction, technological or competitive changes, ownership changes or other reasons. Other risks include capital spending levels by our customers based in part on demand for broadband services, customer adoption of our technologies, development and marketing of technology by our competitors and risks associated with potential acquisitions of competitors, additional lines of business and/or product and services offerings. This list of factors is representative of the factors which could affect our forward-looking statements and is not intended as an all encompassing list of such factors. We disclaim any obligation to update publicly or otherwise these statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 2

Who we are. Provider of Access Solutions for Delivery of Data, Voice and Video Services over HFC Largest pure-play in VoIP & High Speed Data Leader in Fast Growing Market Segments of Cable Telephony and Converged IP Services over Cable Enabler of Cable Operators ability to compete with Telcos and Satellite and offer Triple-play and ultimately to offer Quadruple-play 3

Why ARRIS?. Positioned in Sweet Spot of Macro-trend CAPEX spending Technical Excellence Rapid new product innovations Operational excellence DSO s, Turns, Cost Reduction and Revenue per Employee Strong Balance Sheet Great Cash Generation YTD 26 Results demonstrate Market Leadership and Ongoing Business Momentum 4

ARRIS 5-Point Growth Strategy Transition to Everything IP Everywhere Lead the market with solutions that address: Competition between telcos and cable for Triple-Play Explosive VoIP and high speed data market Emerging IP Video transport market Developing international markets Leverage our current Voice and Data business Expand installed CMTS base for high speed data Position existing products for transition to DOCSIS 3. Strengthen and Grow TeleWire Supply business Maintain and improve Strong Capital Structure Expand and/or fill gaps in our existing product and services portfolio through Internal Developments, Partnerships and Acquisitions 5

Results Indicate that our Strategy is working 9 months 26 Revenues of $657M up 32% or $158M over 9 months 25 25 2 15 13 136 Revenue ($M) EPS Revenue ($M) EPS ($)* 162 21 181 28 22 229 22-23 (est.).3.25.2.15.18.2.19.23.24.23-.26 (est.) 1.1.8 5.5.4. Q44 Q15 Q25 Q35 Q45 Q16 Q26 Q36 Q46 -.5 -.1 Q44 Q15 Q25 Q35 Q45 Q16 Q26 Q36 Q46 *Included in GAAP EPS are amortization of intangibles, equity compensation expense, loss on debt retirement, restructuring and certain other costs. See our website at www.arrisi.com for a reconciliation of non-gaap measures. 6 Q46 guidance excludes impact of convertible note offering net interest income of $.1 in Q46.

Macro-trends are Driving Cable Equipment Spending Worldwide. Telcos seek video subs MSOs seek Telco subs Heated Competition for the Subscriber! VoIP in the very Early Stages of Rollout Worldwide Triple play of Data, Voice and Video pushes Bandwidth Needs Internet Traffic driving Data Speeds towards +1 Mbps High Definition TV on Demand is Coming Wireless creates Quadruple Play Opportunity 7

Worldwide Presence allows ARRIS to Benefit from Industry Macro Trends. Denver Chicago Boston Philadelphia Atlanta-HQ Cork Barcelona London Amsterdam Beijing Seoul Tokyo Chengdu Hong Kong Manila Santiago 8 Around The World Around The Clock! Sales & Admin Tech Support Engineering Melbourne

Broad Global Customer Base. Canada Eastlink Rogers/Capella Videotron Shaw Plus 3 Others Latin America BCD Argentina VAR Cablemas Mexico Cable Onda Panama Cablevision Argentina Multichannel Telecable De Morelos Mexico TV Cable Bogota Colombia VTR Chile Plus 19 Others 9 United States Armstrong Bresnan Brighthouse Buckeye Cable One Charter Comcast Cox Ellijay Telephone Frankfort GCI Graceba Grande Hargray Insight Ironton Knology Liberty Mediacom National Cable Television Coop. Net2Phone RCN Service Electric Susquehanna Time Warner Plus 72 Others Over 15 operators, in 46 countries, and growing Asia-Pacific A-JIN Techline Korea Commverge Korea Hanaro Jupiter Japan Ricklee Philippines Synclayer Japan Plus 15 Others Europe Cabovisao Portugal Essent Netherlands Telenet Belgium TVCABO Portugal UPC Europe (UGCE) Vector SP Zoo Poland Plus 44 Others

Market Segment Requirements and ARRIS Product Portfolio. Market Segment Requirements ARRIS Products High Speed Data Services Reliability Standards Compliance Cadant Broadband Network Video (Edge QAM) Guaranteed Quality of Service Hitless RF Redundancy Hitless Software Upgrade High Density Standards Compliance Interoperability C4 CMTS/M-CMTS Keystone C3 CMTS Future Compliance (Modular CMTS architecture) D5 Edge QAM/M-CMTS Touchstone Customer Premises Voice over IP Standards Compliance High Reliability and Availability Multi-protocol Support (NCS and SIP) Technology and Price Leadership TM42 TM52 TP42/44 TM58/512 1

New ARRIS Product Introductions Reflect Industry Macro-trends... Network Cadant C4 CMTS 3. Wideband 1 to 1,+ Mbps per sub ARRIS first to demonstrate ARRIS method now standard Critical in Asia, Europe, and the U.S. where VDSL and FTTH are being deployed Keystone D5 Next Gen Edge QAM First element of M-CMTS DOCSIS 3. Shared QAM Voice, Data, Video Switched Digital Video CPE Single Line E-MTA Cable Modem replacement Multi-line E-MTA MDU/Commercial Services Wireless Voice/Data Gateway 82.11g Wideband Modem 1+ Mbps per sub HSD DS-1/E-1 over Cable Commercial Services 11

ARRIS is a Leader in Rapidly Growing Cable Equipment Market Segments Worldwide. 4 35 3 CAGR (25 29): 23% 44 584 CAGR 58% ($ in Millions) 25 269 2 197 1957 28% 1736 94 144 15 154 1 739 5 736 897 867 947 134 9% 25 26E 27E 28E 29E CMTS emta / Gateway Edge QAM Source: Infonetics, In-Stat, Frost & Sullivan, ARRIS estimates 12

Early Stage of Global VoIP Deployment Drives CPE Opportunities for ARRIS US Cable VoIP penetration at ~6% of homes passed Comcast forecasts 2% penetration of the 41 million homes that they pass by 29. Adding >35, New Subs per week Cox over 3% and Growing Adelphia properties set to go VoIP in 27. International VoIP Growth mirrors US VoIP Growth 13

ARRIS VoIP Products Lead the Market Shipped over 5 million Touchstone Telephony Modems Consistently #1 Market Share in EMTA units Major new products in 26 (Multi-line, Wireless, Wideband) 14 Top 1 E-MTA customers in 3Q6

ARRIS Market Share Results... Entered the DOCSIS CMTS market in 22 and took share ~ % share 21 increased to #2 Worldwide Position in 25 and #2 in Q26 at ~23% share Strong Q36! Launched VoIP E-MTA in 23 and gained #1 position 41% share of Q26 units #1 again with over 1 million shipped. Strong Q36 with 1.3 million shipped! Focus on High Growth Areas allows for More Share of Cable Capex spending Value, Standards, Reliability, Superior Service 15 Source: Infonetics

Financial Overview

26 Financial Results Reflect Continued Improvement throughout the year. 25 2 15 13 9 months 26 Revenues of $657M up 32% or $158M over 9 months 25 Q36 GAAP EPS* of $.24 up $.6 from Q35 GAAP EPS of $.18 9 mos. 26 GAAP EPS* of $.66 up 88% or $.35 from GAAP EPS of $.31 over 9 months of 25 Q46 Guidance - Rev. of $22-$23M EPS* $.23-$.26 GAAP (excludes impact of convertible note offering net interest income of $.1 in Q4) 136 162 Revenue ($M) EPS Revenue ($M) EPS ($) 21 181 28 22 22-23 (est.) 229.3.25.2.15.18.2.19.23.23-.26 (est.).24 1.1.8 5. -.1 -.5 Q44 Q15 Q25 Q35 Q45 Q16 Q26 Q36 Q46 Q44 Q15 Q25 Q35 Q45 Q16 Q26 Q36 Q46 *Included in GAAP EPS are amortization of intangibles, equity compensation expense, loss on debt retirement, restructuring and certain other costs. See our website at www.arrisi.com for a reconciliation of non-gaap measures. 17.5.4

Operating Income and Margin Performance Continues to Improve. Operating Income and Operating Margin 1 3 3 25 2 19 21 2 22 2 Operating Income ($ millions) 1 (1) 3 5 9 6 9 12 9 1 11 1 Operating Margin (%) (2) (1) Q44 Q15 Q25 Q35 Q45 Q16 Q26 Q36 Operating Income $ Operating Margin % (1) 18 Source: ARRIS Note: 1 US GAAP includes 123R Stock Based Compensation since Q3 25

Expense Control and Operating Efficiency Creates Operating Leverage ($ millions) 5 4 3 2 1 36 28 32 24 Operating Expense 36 37 37 32 2 2 18 18 41 19 38 17 4 3 2 1 (%) ($ 's) 1,4 1,2 1, 8 6 4 2 Revenue Per Employee (Annualized) 1,21 1,11 1,131 1,172 1,12 892 72 759 738 716 727 724 717 737 751 756 1,6 1,4 1,2 1, 8 6 4 2 Employees Q44 Q15 Q25 Q35 Q45 Q16 Q26 Q36 Operating Expense $ Operating Expense % Q44 Q15 Q25 Q35 Q45 Q16 Q26 Q36 Revenue Per Employee Employees ($ millions) (Unit millions) 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 93 4 Inventory & Inventory Turns 7 7 114 7 6 1 11 81 9 92 6 76 5 5 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Turns ($ millions) 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 Accounts Receivable & Days Sales Outstanding 121 14 96 88 91 84 42 64 45 45 56 43 4 42 41 38 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Days Q44 Q15 Q25 Q35 Q45 Q16 Q26 Q36 Inventory Turns Source: ARRIS Q44 Q15 Q25 Q35 Q45 Q16 Q26 Q36 Accounts Receivable DSO 19

Strong Balance Sheet Cash & Short-term Investments and Net Cash 1 25 2 166 197 197 21 21 ($ in Millions) 15 1 13 18 97 94 13 13 166 97 94 5 28 33 Q44 Q15 Q25 Q35 Q45 Q16 Q26 Q36 Cash & Short Term Investments Net Cash 2 Source: ARRIS Note: 1 Excludes restricted cash

November 6, 26 Convertible Bond Offering had Strong Demand Transaction: Size: Net Share Settlement: Registered Senior Convertible Notes $24 million (plus 15% or $36M over-allotment option) Principle payable in Cash Coupon: 2.% Conversion Premium: Accretive Transaction: Maturity: Investor Puts: Call Protection: Use of Proceeds: Joint Book-runners: 4% with conversion at $16.9 (payable in cash or shares) Net share settlement limits dilution 2 years Puts in years 7, 1, 15 at par, payable in cash Callable after 7 years at par General corporate purposes including acquisitions UBS Investment Bank / Deutsche Bank Securities 21

Convertible Notes Offering Provides Flexibility.. Opportunities exist to expand portfolio and accelerate ARRIS growth ARRIS sees new areas of interest including video and wireless as IPTV and FMC areas develop ARRIS has a very positive track record with previous acquisition activities 22

In Summary, a Very Positive Outlook for 26 and Beyond Largest pure play in Converged Cable IP service platforms Focused on enabling Cable Quadruple Play with Compelling Product Portfolio Established Market Leadership across Target Segments (High Speed Data and Voice over IP) Long and Deep Customer / Industry Relationships Strong Track Record of Revenue Growth and Profitability Solid Balance Sheet to fuel Growth 26 results reflect continued momentum 23

Questions