The History of Anomalous Atmospheric Neutrino Events - Sulak Festschrift 2005 John LoSecco Physics Department University of Notre Dame October 22,

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The History of Anomalous Atmospheric Neutrino Events - Sulak Festschrift 2005 John LoSecco Physics Department University of Notre Dame October 22, 2005 Sulak Festschrift 2005

Caveats I am not an historian I am not unbiased I was a participant Sources Journal Articles Conference Proceedings Theses (PhD and other) Internal reports and Memos Correspondence including Emails Notes Memory! Selection Effect Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 1-23

Outline Scientific Context Inspiration Formulation Preparation Observation Interpretation Consternation Confirmation Epilogue Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 2-23

Scientific Context Primarily period 1978-1988 Notable Observations Alternating Neutral Currents The High y Anomaly µ eγ at SIN! (TRIUMF over SIN) Lubimov ν e Mass Pasierb et al. νd νp N Reactor ν Oscillations Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 3-23

Inspiration I Discovery of the τ Mann and Primikoff ν Oscillations Paper 1976 Extended idea of ν oscillations to > 2 flavors Inspired Renaissance in the subject Inspired by the possibility of right handed current from the high y anomaly! Long baseline ideas in this paper also inspired studies of matter effects Mentions CP violation possibilities Maturation of accelerator neutrino physics Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 4-23

Inspiration II Asymptotic Freedom Grand Unified Theories SU(5) Baryon Instability Super-symmetric Grand Unification and µ + K 0 Very Large, but feasible detectors Neutrino Induced Backgrounds to Proton Decay Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 5-23

Formulation I - Accelerator Experiments Brookhaven E704 January 1977 Low energy accelerator ν beam P Beam 1.5 GeV/c Below K threshold. No K e3 decays L/E 1 m/mev Most ν µ below CC threshold Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 6-23

Formulation II - Non-Accelerator Experiments Neutrino Signal in Proton Decay Detectors Extend the m 2 range The T2 scale and particle identification IMB proposal (1979) mentions neutrino oscillations, matter effects and supernovae as additional physics goals Early 1980 Cortez Harvard Oral Details of ν path lengths Direction resolution ν e /ν µ for upper and lower hemispheres Documented in Sulak Erice talk, March 1980 and the second half of Sulak FWOGU talk Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 7-23

Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 8-23

Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 9-23

Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 10-23

Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 11-23

Preparation Calibration and performance monitoring with stopping muons (April 1982) First measurements of µ decay with only 1/3 of detector filled. Additional Control of Systematics Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 12-23

Use of real Gargamelle neutrino events Eventual use of BNL neon data and Argonne deuterium data Neutrino interaction models Large, convenient sample of stopping µ to calibrate the detector response to muon decay. Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 13-23

Observation I Cortez and Foster September 1983 Harvard PhD theses Proton decay to e + π 0 and lepton K 0 112 contained events in 130 days 25 µ decays. 22±4%. 33% expected µ decays rate 2.5σ too low No proton decay Shumard 1984 Michigan PhD thesis Extensive study of detector µ decay response Careful job of measuring and modeling the µ identification process Included µ polarization, absorption, after-pulsing, light reflection 148 contained events in 202 days 39 µ decays observed, 26.4±3.6% 35% expected µ decays rate 2.4σ too low Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 14-23

Observation II Blewitt 1985 Caltech PhD thesis West coast data sample 326 contained events in 417 days µ decays rate 2.8σ too low Lake Louise Meeting February, 1986 26% of 401 event IMB-1 sample have µ decay If 40% of the ν µ interactions do not result in a muon decay signal the observed value corresponds to ν e /ν µ of 1.3 The expected value of ν e /ν µ is 0.64 Nusex reports ν e /ν µ = 0.28±0.11 Kamioka reports ν e /ν µ = 0.36±0.08 IMB ν Anomaly Paper 1986 Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 15-23

401 event 417 day IMB-I final data sample. 402 events expected. 104 µ decays observed, 26±2% 34±1% expected 3.5 σ low Diversity of interpretation reflected the diverse opinions of the authors. Deficit of decays was not mentioned in early drafts of the paper! Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 16-23

Haines 1986 Irvine PhD thesis Extensive study of neutrino interactions Long version of the 1986 anomaly paper Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 17-23

Interpretation No Up/Down asymmetry No energy spectrum distortion E/L distributions as expected (in both IMB-1 and IMB-3) Event rate as expected Used this normality to publish limits on neutrino decay and matter effects as well as neutrino oscillation limits for m 2 < 10 4 ev 2 Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 18-23

Consternation M. Nakahata et al. J. Phys. Soc. Japan 1986 The Kamioka equivalent of IMB Haines et al. 1986 Atmospheric neutrino backgrounds for nucleon decay No numbers for data Note the comparison is absolute. i.e. no normalization has been made Same data as Kajita thesis Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 19-23

T. Kajita PhD thesis Tokyo, February 1985 (UTICEPP-86-03 Feb. 1986) 141 contained events in 474 days of Kamiokande detector (1.11 kt-yr) Kamiokande M/S event classification. Muons and showers. 97(89*) single prong. Expected 94(85*) (* > 100 MeV/c) 64 M type events. Expected 54 33(25*) E type events. Expected 40(31*) 29 muon decays when 39.3 expected. 2.4 σ low. M type fraction 66.0±4.8%. Expected 57.5±2.4%. 1.6 σ high. Conclusion the muon and electron fractions are as expected. None of these calculated significances appear in the thesis. June 1986 visit to Tokyo, following Neutrino meeting in Sendai Met with Koshiba and Kajita Well received. Slurping noodles with Koshiba! Discussed the observed IMB µ decay deficiency. The IMB paper had just been submitted to PRL Pointed out the discrepancies between M/S analysis and µ decay in Kamiokande work. Kind blank stares! Assured that the M/S analysis was correct Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 20-23

Kajita thesis data 1985 or 1986? At SWOGU, April 1985, Koshiba showed a table similar to Kajita table 7-1 April 1985 table had 105(99*) event total; data through January 23, 1985, 349 days (0.84 kt-yr). Kajita had 141(133*) event total, 474 days. Koshiba SWOGU talk M-type...a satisfactory agreement with the unnormalized expected distributions Kajita s thesis was not unique. Kamiokande reported good agreement with expectations at many previous presentations and proceedings. Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 21-23

Confirmation 1988 Kamiokande paper 277 (265*) event 2.87 kt-yr exposure to Nov. 1987 Concluded a muon deficiency, 59% The M/S classification had changed to agree with the µ decay rate. Cites and quotes the IMB ν Anomaly Paper from 1986 Interpretation still difficult since angular and energy distributions were as expected. Source Date Exposure Events M type Event Rate Expected kt-yrs Obs/MC per kt-yr Event Rate 5 th WGU 1984 0.485 80 Agreed 165 Agreed Arisaka Thesis 1985 0.661 84 1.03 127 129 6 th WGU 1985 0.840 99 1.13 118 111 Kajita Thesis 1986 1.11 133 1.19 120 108 Hirata et al. 1988 2.87 265 0.59 92 111 Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 22-23

Epilogue Rate Drop in Hirata et al., 1988? 2.87 kt-yr was the sum of Kamioka 1 (1.11 kt-yr) and Kamioka II (1.76 kt-yr) exposure. Notes: Why such a dramatic drop? Email to Totsuka April 18, 1989 Response August 12, 1989: Refit of Kamioka 1 had an event rate of 116±9.4 events/ktonyr. Both Kamioka 1 and Kamioka 2 had rates which agree with expectations. By subtraction this gives an event rate for Kamioka II of 77.3±6.8 per kt-yr IMB 1 event rate was 106±5 per kt-yr. IMB 3 rate (in the notes only 1.53 kt-yr) was 110±10 per kt-yr (E>140 MeV). Sulak Festschrift 2005 J. LoSecco Atmospheric Neutrino Anomaly Oct. 22, 2005 23-23