Legislative and Regulatory Developments Involving Railroad Transportation

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Legislative and Regulatory Developments Involving Railroad Transportation National Association of Rail Shippers Annual Meeting Parc 55 Hotel, San Francisco, CA May 25, 2017 Michael F. McBride

Presentation Outline A New Administration Background Information STB Reauthorization Act of 2015 (S. 808) Rail Competition Issues at the STB Rail Rate Issues at the STB (including InterVISTAS) Revenue Adequacy Transportation Research Board Fuel Surcharge Issues Positive Train Control Differing Approaches Among Board Members? Conclusions and Importance of Shipper Involvement 2

A New Administration Elections (especially Presidential elections) matter We have a slightly conservative Supreme Court, with a new Justice whose opinions suggest less deference to administrative agencies The Administration has left many slots unfilled to this point, including 4 th and 5 th STB Members Will there be new STB nominees soon? Action on policy matters delayed until there is a Republican majority on the STB? Administration anti-regulatory attitude, which RRs support at STB adverse impact on shippers? Hiring freeze was also in place, STB staffing down 3

Background Information Staggers Rail Act of 1980: deregulation, competition instead of regulation to the maximum extent possible Abandonments, mergers, deregulatory and pro-rr policies à reduced competition 80% of traffic served by one RR Non-jurisdictional contracts for most movements Revenue-adequate RRs? 4

STB Reauthorization Act of 2015 (S. 808) Procedural History Senator Thune introduced reauthorization bill Stripped out pro-shipper substantive provisions of S. 2777 Shipper associations, RRs supported bill, Senate passed by voice vote House passed same bill, President signed 5

STB Reauthorization Act of 2015 (S. 808) Summary of Contents Makes STB independent Adds 2 new STB board member seats (for total of 5) STB Board members may discuss matters w/o public Deadlines for rate challenges (which may be unrealistic) Encourages STB to resolve pending matters quickly More investigatory authority, rates still require complaints STB arbitration (for rates) voluntary, damages limited ($25 million rates, $2 million service, over five years) Instructs STB to consider RRs investment needs 6

STB Reauthorization Act of 2015 (S. 808) Implications for Shippers Bill is largely process-oriented, reflecting Senator Thune s preferences; no real substance in favor of shippers Positive development Senator Thune getting regular reports from STB, STB pushed to implement bill, speed up proceedings (except now policy proceedings) STB s increased investigation authority perhaps will be useful if service deteriorates again, but what more can the STB do about service problems? (Its informal inquiries apparently were quite helpful.) There is a great need for shippers to educate Members of Congress about problems with STB processes 7

Rail Competition Issues at the STB Procedural History Abandonments, mergers, lack of competitive switching as in Canada à rail-to-rail competition is often totally lacking, or at best ineffective Ex Parte No. 711: NITL petition for rulemaking STB required NITL to do study, hearing held in March 2014 STB proposed rules July 27, 2016 (in Ex Parte No. 711 (Sub-No. 1)) Opening comments Oct. 26, 2016; reply comments Jan.13, 2017 Under new statute, Board Members may meet with public; no deadline for such meetings. Some meetings have occurred Our client INEOS was the first to attend, in early Feb.; meeting summaries are on STB website. Based on INEOS meetings and others, discussion of particular circumstances matters greatly Shippers supportive, rail labor not; railroads have not met yet Board has not said when rulemaking conclude, but at least 2H17 8

Rail Competition Issues at the STB Summary STB proposed two standards, tracking statute: (1) practicable and in the public interest, or (2) necessary to promote rail-to-rail competition Much complexity to first prong, but second may be workable for shippers who can show market dominance This second approach could work for more shippers, provided rates are over 180%, they are otherwise market-dominant, and there is a safe, efficient, non-congested terminal with which to interchange traffic on the competitor RR within a reasonable distance of shipper s plant 9

Rail Competition Issues at the STB Implications for Shippers Could help some shippers, but lots of complexity Shippers should advocate: (1) simple, prima facie affirmative case, based on publicly available information, for competitive switching; if made, (2) burden shifts to RR to show (if it can) that remedy not safe, or practical, or adversely impact other shippers, or other reasons Then limited discovery, only on matters RR puts at issue Shipper can then rebut RR showing Approach does not work for small shippers (due to cost), and shortlines exempt; need to find ways to expedite STB apparently regards 2% of RR revenues as significant, so apparently it does not intend this approach to apply to too much traffic; need to change STB s mindset on that AAR 9/27/16 letter to Congress objects to STB s proposed rules (and its proposed repeal of certain exemptions in Ex Parte No. 704) Post-election statements by AAR suggest movement in its direction 10

Rail Rate Issues at the STB Status Update Challenges to stand-alone cost methodology Ex Parte No. 665 Sub. 1: considers new rate-challenge process for grain shippers Sub. 2: ANPRM re: rate reasonableness methodology for very small disputes (STB rejected proposals by shipper groups) Coal-rate challenge Consumers Energy v. CSX raises revenue adequacy constraint issue; won t be decided until next year; with CSX revenue-inadequate according to STB (but other proof allowed), not clear if STB will determine constraint Bundling issue discourages rate challenges 11

Rail Rate Issues at the STB: InterVISTAS Study on Stand-Alone Cost Methodology Commissioned under S. 808. Issued September 22, 2016 Purpose: perform independent assessment of STB s stand-alone cost rate reasonableness methodology and identify possible alternatives Conclusions (favor RRs by recommending status quo): Full SAC remains preferred approach in many cases Simplified SAC and three-benchmark test are upheld as well Definition of most efficient network could be simplified Suggests reducing the contribution of cross-over traffic Next steps: STB economic roundtable Then-STB Chairman Elliott hoped to schedule a public hearing after the roundtable, open to all stakeholders 12

Rail Rate Issues at the STB Implications for Shippers Stand-alone cost challenges seemingly not suitable for chemical shippers with single-car shipments (M & G settled; Dupont v. NS, Sunchlor Belt Alkali v. NS, and Total v. CSX all adverse to shippers) Ex Parte No. 665 (Sub. No. 1) proposal: challenges more difficult and more costly for all shippers, not just grain Ex Parte No. 665 (Sub. No. 2): 13 Acknowledges that three-benchmark methodology doesn t work because transaction costs quickly exceed amounts at stake Proposal would only apply to Class I RRs but what if the last mile is spun off to Class II or III? Vice Chairman Miller: proposal would do nothing to solve problems with the stand-alone cost methodology, because it would apply only to small shipments

Revenue Adequacy Status Update Revenue adequacy standards are not realistic (Ex Parte No. 722 Next STB action postponed from October 2016 to June 2017, at least) Revenue adequacy rate constraint must be defined; STB considering improvements to Cost of Capital methodology (Ex Parte No. 664) RRs: not revenue-adequate, using replacement costs But replacement costs not used for revenue adequacy Replacement costs used in SAC because hypothetical RR incurs replacement costs. Not used for actual RRs Ex Parte No. 552 (Sub-20): 4 Class I RRs (BNSF, Grand Trunk (CN), Soo Line (CP), UP) rev-ad in 2015. Others close (CoC was 9.61%, CSX and NS were at or over 9%) 14

Revenue Adequacy Implications for Shippers Shippers advocate alternatives to stand-alone costs, argue it is not the only economically justifiable measure for determining rate reasonableness Railroads have defended ICC/STB determinations that SAC is the only economically rational methodology for setting rail rates Revenue-to-Variable Cost Ratio rate cap? Return-on-investment-type ratemaking? With rebuttable presumptions? Others? 15

Transportation Research Board Report Status Update and Implications for Shippers Report commissioned by Congress; issued June 10, 2015 Finds STB processes dysfunctional, urges replacement by system of baseball arbitration, quick resolution Fails to address Constitutional issues, appeals to STB, judicial review, discovery, standards (except apparently a competitive benchmark approach, undefined) Would require replacement of Uniform Rail Costing System methodology, which would be costly, and there would be winners and losers No one seems to be pushing on Hill, but Report could be very useful to show the need for reform 16

Fuel Surcharge Issues Status Update and Shipper Implications Cargill proved BNSF over-recovered but no relief Safe harbor concept intended to benefit shippers STB not bound to deny relief to Cargill RR fuel costs less than the STB s safe harbor STB: alter policy to avoid over-compensating RRs Fuel surcharge case (includes only contracts) awaiting new class-certification decision Shippers will be able to opt out, pursue separate actions if they wish 17

Positive Train Control Status Update and Implications for Shippers Due to Congressional action in 2015, deadline now is December 31, 2018, with limited possible further extensions if a showing of good cause Then Acting Administrator testified no discretion not to impose civil penalties on RRs for failure to comply RRs responses, in letters to Senator Thune, stated that they will stop carrying TIH materials and passengers on non-ptc compliant lines Litigation before USDC, STB re: legality was dismissed, but issue may come up again Common carrier obligation issues 18

Differing Approaches Among Board Members Tri-City Railroad Company Petition for Declaratory Order (Docket No. FD 35915) (service date: September 14, 2016) Holding: Cities condemnation of RR right-of-way for at-grade crossing of proposed road is preempted Vice Chairman Miller s comment: Legally correct result, but STB should have exhausted all options to keep the road project alive, including requiring parties to engage in mediation STB is unable to handle cases quickly under its current process Stated that then-stb Chairman Elliott unwilling to consider changes to improve timeliness, adopt performance metrics 19

Conclusions Importance of Shipper Involvement (1) RR financial health improved dramatically, especially over the last 10 years However, it turned in the wrong direction in 2015; 2016? Still, STB seems to concede that RRs are doing better, despite the downturn in volumes TRB Report supports need for change Competitive switching competition was presumed in Staggers Rail Act of 1980, but not the result Rate-reasonableness needs to be an alternative to stand-alone costs will STB respond? Common carrier obligation issues 20

Conclusions Importance of Shipper Involvement (2) Pressures that shippers are under have increased because of higher rates Until recently, RRs don t have to work to compete or become more efficient to raise revenues; RRs only needed to raise rates, did so inexorably Having achieved revenue adequacy (except CP, CSX and KCS, maybe), non-sac rate challenges may now be more likely to prevail but will the facts change again? InterVISTAS Report has been embraced by RRs, shippers will need to comment, suggest alternative approaches, participate in upcoming STB hearing 21

Q&A Questions or Comments? 22

For more information: Michael F. McBride Van Ness Feldman, LLP 1050 Thomas Jefferson Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20007 202-298-1989 mfm@vnf.com