Data Science + Content. Todd Holloway, Director of Content Science & Algorithms for Smart Content Summit, 3/9/2017

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Transcription:

Data Science + Content Todd Holloway, Director of Content Science & Algorithms for Smart Content Summit, 3/9/2017

Netflix by the Numbers... > 90M members Available worldwide (except China) > 1000 device types Hours: > 3B per month Log 100B events/day 36.5% of peak US downstream traffic

Data @ Netflix Big Data 700B >40PB

Evolution of Netflix DVD service Streaming service Originals Going Global 1999 2007 2012 2016

Evolution of Machine Learning @ Netflix (2000) http://classic.movielens.org/

Evolution of Machine Learning @ Netflix (2007-09) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/netflix_prize

Machine Learning & Data Science Tools (2017)

Machine Learning Algorithms (2017) - Regression models (Logistic, Linear, Elastic nets) - GBDT/RF - SVD & other MF models - Factorization Machines - Clustering (from k-means to HDP) - Deep Learning - LDA - Association Rules

ML plays a role in every phase of the content lifecycle. 1. Acquisition 2. Quality control 3. Localization 4. Marketing 5. Streaming 6. Presentation to users Let s work backward in the lifecycle

User Interface Promotion Layout Imagery Metadata Search Functionality Row / Content Selection and more http://delivery.acm.org/10.1145/2850000/2843948/a13-gomez-uribe.pdf

User Interface Experimentation Platform http://techblog.netflix.com/2016/04/its-all-about-testing-netflix.html

User Interface Experimentation Platform Cover Art Optimization http://techblog.netflix.com/2016/05/selecting-best-artwork-for-videos.html

User Interface Experimentation Platform 2013 2015

Streaming Optimization https://media.netflix.com/en/company-blog/how-netflix-works-with-isps-around-the-globe-to-deliver-a-great-viewing-experience

Digital Asset Quality Control http://techblog.netflix.com/2015/12/optimizing-content-quality-control-at-netflix-predictive-modeling.html

Data Science to Aid Selection of Content Scripts and pitches Original content Selection process Studio productions Licensed content

Can data science create content? Can a computer write a script that would win a competition? [benjamin.wtf]

Can data science create content?

Is Netflix doing this? No. It s the opposite. We give creative freedom to the creatives.

But can data help in choosing content? Yes. All decisions are made by experienced creatives, but analytic products can help.

Netflix s Notion of Value Content Efficiency = value / cost

Using Machine Learning to Predict Value Available Titles Demand Features Demand Predictive Model Adjust If efficient, proceed

Using Machine Learning to Predict Value Available Titles Demand Features Demand Predictive Model Adjust If efficient, proceed E.g. Past performance on Netflix (if previously licensed) Past performance of similar titles on Netflix Broadcast ratings Theatre ticket sales Talent involved Reviews Awards

Using Machine Learning to Predict Value Available Titles Demand Features Demand Predictive Model Adjust If efficient, proceed

Using Machine Learning to Predict Value Available Titles Demand Features Demand Predictive Model Adjust If efficient, proceed E.g. Buyer judgements Deal term adjustments

Training workflow Custom Machine Learning Framework Training data curri fe Feature engineering Training feature vectors curri train training Serialized models Model configs Scoring workflow Scoring data curri fe Feature engineering Scoring feature vectors curri score scoring Scores

Using Machine Learning for Originals Originals is a more difficult problem than licensing Less data - no box office or reviews Moving target - ideas and scripts can evolve Fungible - execution varies with talent and budget

Finding Comparable Titles House of Cards script = X Those members also watch:

What s like Twister meets Shark Week?

Programming to Tastes (Something for Everyone)

Programming to Tastes

Data Science and Tech are in the DNA of Netflix (and we ll keep looking for ways to leverage that DNA for content) Thank You. Questions?