MEASURING EMERGING SCIENTIFIC IMPACT AND CURRENT RESEARCH TRENDS: A COMPARISON OF ALTMETRIC AND HOT PAPERS INDICATORS

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MEASURING EMERGING SCIENTIFIC IMPACT AND CURRENT RESEARCH TRENDS: A COMPARISON OF ALTMETRIC AND HOT PAPERS INDICATORS DR. EVANGELIA A.E.C. LIPITAKIS evangelia.lipitakis@thomsonreuters.com BIBLIOMETRIE2014 CONFERENCE SEPTEMBER 2014

Academic Research Performance Assessment in Interdisciplinary Environments Qualitative: Peer review subjective judgements by experts Quantitative: Metrics measuring the reactions of other academics quantitatively by their behaviour. Basic metric unit is the citation It can occur at different levels: A single output, e.g., a paper An academic A department A journal A university Why measuring research quality is important? Allocating funds e.g. public/private funding, grants University Rankings, League tables (THE, ARWU, Leiden Ranking) Jobs and promotion 2

Applications of Bibliometrics and Citation Analysis International Collaborations Author Collaborations Visualization of Science Number of Documents % Open Access Journals Citation Impact Industry Collaborations h-index Assess collaborations Monitor productivity and impact Bibliometric Methodologies and THE Ranked Identify hot topics and top performances Citation Analysis Advanced normalized bibliometric indicators Percentiles ESI Most Cited Highly Cited Papers Hot Papers Support Funding Journal Normalized Citation Impact Normalized Citation Impact

Citation network and new data formats Citations traditionally come from online citation databases Various new formats of scientific and scholarly output outside the citation indices Input Outcome Journals, Conference Proceedings, Books (online citation databases) Research Datasets and Data Studies (e.g. Data Citation Index) Patents (e.g. Derwent Innovation Index), licensable technology Software e-thesis and dissertations Lecture slides, e-tutorials, blogs, presentations Performances in arts, videos, etc. Track Link Research Advancement Socio-Economic benefits Research policy making Public engagement

Altmetrics: A class of new web-based quantitative indicators Altmetrics: The study and use of scholarly impact measures based on activity in online tools and environments. (Priem et al., 2012) What do altmetrics measure? -Usage (views, downloads, hits, holdings) -Captures (bookmarks, favorites, shares, added) -Mentions (blogs, news, reviews, comments, links) -Social Media (mentioned, shared, liked, recommended) -Citations (online citation databases)

Rise of Altmetrics and ALUMs Universe of web-based scholarly resources, data, usage statistics for predicting user behaviour Wide variety of publication types (pdfs, xml, videos, slides, blogs, etc.) Reflect real time scholarly and public post-publication attention, trends and visibility However, Altmetrics measure immediacy and emerging/current trends, not the same as scientific impact (number of downloads=intent, not actual use) No qualitative differentiation of the user (Researcher or Robotic Activity?) No qualitative differentiation of data (A controversial paper might accumulate high number of comments/views/tweets) No solid theoretical framework in the use of altmetrics and ALUMs in research performance evaluation

Measuring Emerging Research Trends: A comparison of 2013 Top 100 Altmetrics and Hot Papers indicators Hot Papers: The top 0.1% most cited documents normalized per category, publication year and publication type based on the last 2 years of publications (https://esi.incites.thomsonreuters.com) Citation Percentile Data years examined Hot Papers 0.1% 2 Top 100 Hot Papers 2013 (http://apps.webofknowl edge.com) Altmetric Score: Weighted ranking algorithm based on web-based scholarly activity of online users (www.altmetric.com) Volume Sources Authors Altmetric Score Times mentioned Social Media Online reference managers Downloads Mainstream media Frequency Bias Audience Top 100 Altmetric papers 2013 (http://www.altmetric.co m/top100)

Citation Distributions of Altmetric and Hot Papers 2000 1800 1600 Bibliometric data can be highly skewed WoS Citations 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 98% Hot Papers have received between 500-100 citations Altmetrics Hot Papers 0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 88% Altmetric papers, have received less than 50 citations 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 Publications 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 100 Altmetric Papers Hot Papers Total Citations 2,570 18,414 Average Citations 27.93 184.14 Median Citations 7.5 140.5 h-index 22 100

Differences in average citation rates Citation Impact can vary significantly across different disciplines and time periods. Cannot be compared without some form of normalization to allow for the differences in fields and time Do Altmetric indicators need to be normalized for different fields?

Which are the 10 most popular Subject Categories *? HOT PAPERS ALTMETRIC PAPERS Altmetric and Hot Papers Subject Areas Publications 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Hot Papers Altmetric *WoS Subject Categories

In which Subject Categories Altmetric and Hot Papers have the biggest impact? HOT PAPERS Which Subject Categories are citing the Top 100 Hot Papers? ALTMETRIC PAPERS Which Subject Categories are citing the Top 100 Altmetric Papers?

Where do Top 100 Altmetric and Hot Papers 2013 get published? 25 Top Publication Outlets 20 Publications 15 10 5 0 Altmetric Hot Papers Journals 100 100 97 2013 JIF Quartiles Open Access Journals Altmetric Papers Hot Papers 37% 7% % Publications 80 60 40 20 0 1 2 JIF - Q1 JIF - Q2 JIF - Q3 JIF - Q4 Hot Papers Altmetric

Which are the Top 10 countries publishing Altmetric and Hot Papers? Higher percentages may mean higher collaborations between countries. International collaborations are considered to be a drivers of scientific impact.

In which countries Altmetric and Hot Papers have the biggest impact? Which Countries are citing the Top 100 Hot Papers? Which Countries are citing the Top 100 Altmetric Papers?

2013 Global Productivity and Impact Landscape WoS Citations

Future Research Conduct more research Define impact of web-based social interactions Explore normalization per discipline, country, time, etc. Identify which metrics are more appropriate in different levels of aggregation (paper/author/institution/journal/etc.) Classification of different types scholarly output that need to be taken into account (relevancy with fields and scholarly process) Develop strategy about alternative metrics in discovery and research performance evaluation process Explore further uses for article level usage and altmetrics